{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e7bbe497-b271-429e-8905-ca673b9f3c00", "symbol": "TARC", "name": "TARC Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -22.652, "architecture_energy": 14.917, "architecture_maturity": 77.985, "architecture_confidence": 66.159, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.25, "rotation_up": 37.59, "upward_expansion": 27.89, "deceleration": 37.4, "rotation_down": 24.91, "downward_expansion": 50.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 130.547999, 128.29109, 128.657524, 130.069054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 130.779999, "trend_reference": 134.737667, "distance_from_trend": -0.029373, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 157.250513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.168333, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.964953, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.116292, "excess_performance": -0.072583, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029373, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058672, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.168333, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067828, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.07965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018619, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.116292, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.295594, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1689156, "relative_activity": 0.287419, "balance": 0.295594, "dry_up": 1.011824, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067506, "annualized_volatility": 0.319144, "from_high_reference": -0.298014, "from_low_reference": 0.198717 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 134.737667, "fair_value_reference": 157.250513, "structural_low": 109.099998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.02947, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.012359, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.295105, "worst_return": -0.206313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.144839, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.107456, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.391874, "worst_return": -0.09912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.165477, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.082949, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.21232, "worst_return": -0.05993, "sufficient": 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128.886477, 133.292646 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 124.209999, "volume": 65217053, "typical_volume": 5235816.75, "trend": 139.486334, "fair_value": 155.842757, "relative_strength": -13.636191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.638835, "energy": 40.581773, "activity_lines": [ 125.163332, 126.58109, 128.227524, 132.260302 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 118.379997, "volume": 2052932, "typical_volume": 5244592.65, "trend": 138.523334, "fair_value": 156.130129, "relative_strength": -17.320044, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.681083, "energy": 55.185059, "activity_lines": [ 122.867331, 124.783635, 127.169191, 130.898603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 131.449997, "volume": 15688710, "typical_volume": 5911739.45, "trend": 137.558, "fair_value": 156.514423, "relative_strength": -5.384965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.194506, "energy": 28.784115, "activity_lines": [ 125.391331, 125.695453, 127.489524, 130.442258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 137.25, "volume": 4355087, "typical_volume": 6016844.6, "trend": 136.256667, "fair_value": 156.919552, "relative_strength": -3.134384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.022201, "energy": 7.802085, "activity_lines": [ 129.497332, 127.641817, 128.401809, 130.422387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 130.779999, "volume": 1689156, "typical_volume": 5876982.65, "trend": 134.737667, "fair_value": 157.250513, "relative_strength": -7.964953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.651962, "energy": 14.916564, "activity_lines": [ 130.547999, 128.29109, 128.657524, 130.069054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }