{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e7cf7ca6-a219-46fa-9a9b-ae1b69581b61", "symbol": "EPI", "name": "WISDOMTREE TRUST INDIA EARNINGS USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 74.988, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 0.219, "architecture_energy": 2.203, "architecture_maturity": 15.287, "architecture_confidence": 79.065, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 70.24, "rotation_up": 24.44, "upward_expansion": 30.97, "deceleration": 39.37, "rotation_down": 26.92, "downward_expansion": 43.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.846, 42.73, 42.682952, 42.752108 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 43.68, "trend_reference": 43.143, "distance_from_trend": 0.012447, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.076788, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.009002, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.99516, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.050847, "excess_performance": -0.176472, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.012447, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02556, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.009002, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015624, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119952, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020571, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.050847, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.026732, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1529386, "relative_activity": 0.539463, "balance": 1.026732, "dry_up": 0.67643, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025421, "annualized_volatility": 0.178274, "from_high_reference": -0.074576, "from_low_reference": 0.108489 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.143, "fair_value_reference": 44.076788, "structural_low": 39.405, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.008472, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.019633, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.049116, "worst_return": -0.078316, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.002597, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023345, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.067125, "worst_return": -0.071915, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.011165, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.123203, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.080265, "worst_return": -0.062568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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42.584545, 42.598524, 42.940731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 42.32, "volume": 1929606, "typical_volume": 3716586.05, "trend": 43.472333, "fair_value": 43.943051, "relative_strength": -12.484916, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.094969, "energy": 15.075047, "activity_lines": [ 42.645333, 42.537636, 42.573095, 42.858387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.69, "volume": 2513193, "typical_volume": 3541609.3, "trend": 43.331333, "fair_value": 43.978981, "relative_strength": -12.858885, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.661739, "energy": 33.049103, "activity_lines": [ 42.289333, 42.401273, 42.502048, 42.743398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.99, "volume": 1698576, "typical_volume": 3310836.65, "trend": 43.203667, "fair_value": 44.025673, "relative_strength": -10.711712, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.383639, "energy": 19.387601, "activity_lines": [ 42.455333, 42.508545, 42.562381, 42.721376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.68, "volume": 1529386, "typical_volume": 2835017.6, "trend": 43.143, "fair_value": 44.076788, "relative_strength": -11.99516, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.218944, "energy": 2.203465, "activity_lines": [ 42.846, 42.73, 42.682952, 42.752108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }