{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e7d9d716-f077-40fe-8df1-24d60da60b1a", "symbol": "STEX", "name": "Streamex Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.832, "architecture_energy": 50.27, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.289, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.83, "rotation_up": 22.55, "upward_expansion": 7.25, "deceleration": 53.08, "rotation_down": 53.61, "downward_expansion": 78.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.767473, 0.819193, 0.933255, 1.1195 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.7961, "trend_reference": 1.53458, "distance_from_trend": -0.481226, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.500981, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.681685, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -76.323586, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.757287, "excess_performance": -0.94474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.481226, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.391883, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.681685, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04388, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.763236, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049982, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.757287, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.63953, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2942335, "relative_activity": 0.373347, "balance": 0.63953, "dry_up": 0.517005, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.332781, "annualized_volatility": 1.094913, "from_high_reference": -0.892997, "from_low_reference": 0.215049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.53458, "fair_value_reference": 2.500981, "structural_low": 0.6552, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.137256, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.103483, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 3.5, "worst_return": -0.70297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.302051, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.31646, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 6.982759, "worst_return": -0.898677, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.071932, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.10048, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 7.982759, "worst_return": -0.939985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 1.107081, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056338, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.375, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.378591, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 1.362069, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", 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"2026-07-31", "close": 0.7099, "volume": 3710867, "typical_volume": 8306323.3, "trend": 1.612043, "fair_value": 2.535493, "relative_strength": -78.300942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.799427, "energy": 52.840698, "activity_lines": [ 0.7766, 0.845291, 0.956919, 1.172142 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.7961, "volume": 2942335, "typical_volume": 7880963.25, "trend": 1.53458, "fair_value": 2.500981, "relative_strength": -76.323586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.832276, "energy": 50.270171, "activity_lines": [ 0.767473, 0.819193, 0.933255, 1.1195 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }