{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e7e6c822-7892-458a-b47e-eacf1c489e1f", "symbol": "NDA", "name": "Aurubis AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 48.108, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.341, "architecture_energy": 13.11, "architecture_maturity": 30.102, "architecture_confidence": 84.289, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.1, "rotation_up": 16.62, "upward_expansion": 41.74, "deceleration": 79.91, "rotation_down": 40.19, "downward_expansion": 38.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 176.953333, 179.278181, 185.557619, 182.319112 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 175.5, "trend_reference": 176.525757, "distance_from_trend": -0.005811, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 97.726695, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.795825, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.134836, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.077439, "excess_performance": -0.096808, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005811, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146268, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.795825, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.314894, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011348, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.334919, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077439, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.060127, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56, "relative_activity": 0.16507, "balance": 8.060127, "dry_up": 0.619013, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08249, "annualized_volatility": 0.390364, "from_high_reference": -0.196429, "from_low_reference": 0.888532 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 176.525757, "fair_value_reference": 97.726695, "structural_low": 146.0, 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1.798984, "energy": 22.103804, "activity_lines": [ 180.166666, 189.836363, 187.530951, 181.090776 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 171.100006, "volume": 280, "typical_volume": 341.55, "trend": 171.105649, "fair_value": 95.767182, "relative_strength": 2.420345, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.117314, "energy": 27.893874, "activity_lines": [ 175.626668, 185.623637, 186.53619, 181.205391 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 178.199997, "volume": 392, "typical_volume": 331.0, "trend": 173.051882, "fair_value": 96.400998, "relative_strength": 4.601768, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.176886, "energy": 24.067036, "activity_lines": [ 175.093334, 182.976364, 186.229047, 181.663091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 182.699997, "volume": 112, "typical_volume": 336.45, "trend": 174.979783, "fair_value": 97.058058, "relative_strength": 6.507628, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.777995, "energy": 19.318855, "activity_lines": [ 177.173333, 181.638181, 186.293809, 182.28555 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 175.5, "volume": 56, "typical_volume": 339.25, "trend": 176.525757, "fair_value": 97.726695, "relative_strength": -1.134836, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.34125, "energy": 13.109719, "activity_lines": [ 176.953333, 179.278181, 185.557619, 182.319112 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }