{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e80490d3-6e0a-442b-8c1b-ef05a219a7d2", "symbol": "GRNQ", "name": "GreenPro Capital Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.34, "architecture_energy": 68.405, "architecture_maturity": 31.015, "architecture_confidence": 89.298, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.73, "rotation_up": 19.83, "upward_expansion": 14.28, "deceleration": 40.5, "rotation_down": 67.38, "downward_expansion": 92.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.2392, 13.193636, 15.364805, 17.115787 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.2654, "trend_reference": 18.459313, "distance_from_trend": -0.389717, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.407038, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.15974, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.131417, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.356263, "excess_performance": -0.543716, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.389717, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052148, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.15974, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.63505, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.431314, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.378536, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.356263, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.487573, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54497, "relative_activity": 0.490704, "balance": 2.487573, "dry_up": 0.31368, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.284103, "annualized_volatility": 0.716757, "from_high_reference": -0.645742, "from_low_reference": 0.287474 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.459313, "fair_value_reference": 13.407038, "structural_low": 8.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.03719, "positive_rate": 0.387097, "directional_follow_through": 0.612903, "median_excess_return": -0.03953, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.797156, "worst_return": -0.336878, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.081235, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.105205, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.231084, "worst_return": -0.476667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.202241, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.143836, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.498168, "worst_return": -0.642718, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.219014, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.488825, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.505263, "worst_return": -0.80375, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.143095, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.050633, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021341, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.271375, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.167129, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073826, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.247222, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.015141, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.084011, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-13", 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123913.5, "trend": 19.1309, "fair_value": 13.462292, "relative_strength": -34.528962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.636449, "energy": 47.877857, "activity_lines": [ 14.706667, 14.979636, 18.124862, 18.825701 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.5, "volume": 23637, "typical_volume": 122854.8, "trend": 18.957567, "fair_value": 13.440497, "relative_strength": -36.3992, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.226287, "energy": 60.851337, "activity_lines": [ 13.906667, 14.431273, 17.419581, 18.397901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.487, "volume": 47507, "typical_volume": 120325.25, "trend": 18.817133, "fair_value": 13.428875, "relative_strength": -34.534683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.294894, "energy": 66.150779, "activity_lines": [ 13.242333, 14.020545, 16.736395, 17.980445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.8, "volume": 13707, "typical_volume": 114281.05, "trend": 18.650467, "fair_value": 13.416696, "relative_strength": -32.710949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.981018, "energy": 65.646357, "activity_lines": [ 12.9032, 13.726964, 16.106414, 17.592243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.2654, "volume": 54497, "typical_volume": 111058.9, "trend": 18.459313, "fair_value": 13.407038, "relative_strength": -43.131417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.340265, "energy": 68.404657, "activity_lines": [ 12.2392, 13.193636, 15.364805, 17.115787 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }