{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e82443db-a4c4-4403-8d6c-4e57cab27f3b", "symbol": "O1MC34", "name": "Omnicom Group Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 48.514, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 41.43, "architecture_energy": 79.102, "architecture_maturity": 16.717, "architecture_confidence": 62.037, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.21, "rotation_up": 77.0, "upward_expansion": 69.64, "deceleration": 20.84, "rotation_down": 16.0, "downward_expansion": 27.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 213.084, 206.421478, 198.569315, 198.448943 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 211.259995, "trend_reference": 199.497179, "distance_from_trend": 0.058962, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 217.217044, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027424, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.072958, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.060962, "excess_performance": 0.11801, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058962, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012606, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027424, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1001, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00073, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.217579, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060962, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.752508, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.008207, "balance": 1.752508, "dry_up": 1.901929, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023746, "annualized_volatility": 0.263721, "from_high_reference": -0.059883, "from_low_reference": 0.162865 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 199.497179, "fair_value_reference": 217.217044, "structural_low": 181.672043, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.017491, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.047144, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.130533, "worst_return": -0.08886, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.08189, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.014514, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.312469, "worst_return": -0.008, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.030952, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.049291, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.242205, "worst_return": -0.157464, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 208.440002, "volume": 122, "typical_volume": 85.25, "trend": 200.986549, "fair_value": 216.510117, "relative_strength": -5.894819, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 19.324904, "energy": 41.968554, "activity_lines": [ 197.61467, 191.838354, 191.890766, 195.290632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 208.440002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 83.6, "trend": 200.558586, "fair_value": 216.640592, "relative_strength": -3.264293, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.949388, "energy": 64.00679, "activity_lines": [ 202.716003, 195.369288, 193.111464, 195.7715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 208.440002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 80.25, "trend": 200.0253, "fair_value": 216.803311, "relative_strength": -2.967134, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.783135, "energy": 61.359786, "activity_lines": [ 206.220669, 198.567103, 194.369974, 196.279978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 222.330002, "volume": 926, "typical_volume": 126.55, "trend": 199.94574, "fair_value": 217.037987, "relative_strength": 1.644303, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 61.174568, "energy": 86.348443, "activity_lines": [ 212.758669, 203.848978, 197.001455, 197.718991 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 211.259995, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 121.85, "trend": 199.497179, "fair_value": 217.217044, "relative_strength": 0.072958, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.430295, "energy": 79.102331, "activity_lines": [ 213.084, 206.421478, 198.569315, 198.448943 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }