{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e83a6438-070d-4854-8c4c-7b1c371437c4", "symbol": "ESTR4", "name": "Manufatura de Brinquedos Estrela S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.708, "architecture_energy": 81.919, "architecture_maturity": 68.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.595, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.52, "rotation_up": 8.22, "upward_expansion": 17.99, "deceleration": 40.46, "rotation_down": 84.85, "downward_expansion": 95.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.827333, 2.282182, 3.004905, 3.393785 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.8, "trend_reference": 3.882, "distance_from_trend": -0.536321, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.963333, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.545837, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.140762, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.627329, "excess_performance": -0.570281, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.536321, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191979, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.545837, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.60263, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.631408, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.420626, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.627329, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.074627, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 400, "relative_activity": 0.229885, "balance": 0.074627, "dry_up": 1.221264, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.211111, "annualized_volatility": 0.802999, "from_high_reference": -0.723077, "from_low_reference": 0.2 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.882, "fair_value_reference": 3.963333, "structural_low": 1.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.00025, "positive_rate": 0.344828, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": -0.042576, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.421333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.101695, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.087217, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.725431, "worst_return": -0.419608, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.65, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.516843, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.724138, "worst_return": -0.607843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.169492, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.298334, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.179412, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.338374, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.105556, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.120603, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.044118, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.216216, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.168539, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.064588, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.152542, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.101852, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006211, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.625, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 6.0, "volume": 1100, "typical_volume": 11670.0, "trend": 5.3918, "fair_value": 4.869686, "relative_strength": 19.616933, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.959373, "energy": 27.830406, "activity_lines": [ 6.503333, 6.603273, 6.500143, 6.027097 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 6.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11570.0, "trend": 5.4585, "fair_value": 4.889365, "relative_strength": 18.559409, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.089485, "energy": 16.639204, "activity_lines": [ 6.3, 6.481273, 6.492238, 6.066335 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 6.3, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 11435.0, "trend": 5.5352, "fair_value": 4.911474, "relative_strength": 21.398455, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.387725, "energy": 26.352405, "activity_lines": [ 6.24, 6.428727, 6.50219, 6.120626 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 6.3, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11435.0, "trend": 5.6119, "fair_value": 4.932256, "relative_strength": 23.10156, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.044571, "energy": 28.782826, "activity_lines": [ 6.22, 6.388909, 6.50119, 6.169968 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 6.3, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 11345.0, "trend": 5.688567, "fair_value": 4.953705, "relative_strength": 18.680123, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.608526, "energy": 26.266758, "activity_lines": [ 6.24, 6.351818, 6.489238, 6.214361 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 5.8, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 10565.0, "trend": 5.748567, "fair_value": 4.974667, "relative_strength": 11.167167, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -22.562385, "energy": 42.20798, "activity_lines": [ 6.113333, 6.231818, 6.421571, 6.221551 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 6.3, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 10355.0, "trend": 5.825233, "fair_value": 4.996846, "relative_strength": 19.410249, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.030984, "energy": 15.85663, "activity_lines": [ 6.166667, 6.218182, 6.400571, 6.257127 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 6.3, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9855.0, "trend": 5.901933, "fair_value": 5.019282, "relative_strength": 21.02191, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.113149, "energy": 15.960495, "activity_lines": [ 6.2, 6.210909, 6.382429, 6.287757 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 6.3, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 9605.0, "trend": 5.978633, "fair_value": 5.042519, "relative_strength": 18.607186, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.257619, "energy": 15.464912, "activity_lines": [ 6.233333, 6.214545, 6.362857, 6.313439 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 5.5, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 5545.0, "trend": 6.028667, "fair_value": 5.06066, "relative_strength": 5.397845, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.134463, "energy": 33.550904, "activity_lines": [ 6.0, 6.083636, 6.268048, 6.282559 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 6.0, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 4105.0, "trend": 6.092, "fair_value": 5.083096, "relative_strength": 14.139185, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.044866, "energy": 26.40681, "activity_lines": [ 5.986667, 6.063636, 6.227048, 6.28071 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 6.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 960.0, "trend": 6.167, "fair_value": 5.105212, "relative_strength": 8.683859, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.830616, "energy": 30.663168, "activity_lines": [ 5.96, 6.043636, 6.189857, 6.274774 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 6.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 825.0, "trend": 6.233667, "fair_value": 5.127647, "relative_strength": 5.838422, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.206091, "energy": 46.145396, "activity_lines": [ 5.953333, 6.023636, 6.156571, 6.264 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 6.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 720.0, "trend": 6.300333, "fair_value": 5.149897, "relative_strength": 1.624986, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.969292, "energy": 39.182059, "activity_lines": [ 5.966667, 6.009091, 6.128048, 6.248925 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 5.1, "volume": 700, "typical_volume": 325.0, "trend": 6.317, "fair_value": 5.166378, "relative_strength": -14.086504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.822661, "energy": 71.726863, "activity_lines": [ 5.7, 5.836364, 6.015952, 6.171484 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 4.5, "volume": 4700, "typical_volume": 525.0, "trend": 6.280333, "fair_value": 5.178769, "relative_strength": -25.691286, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.440811, "energy": 89.873282, "activity_lines": [ 5.26, 5.576364, 5.854524, 6.054258 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 4.19, "volume": 21200, "typical_volume": 1585.0, "trend": 6.19, "fair_value": 5.188327, "relative_strength": -30.142615, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.144399, "energy": 94.812964, "activity_lines": [ 4.816667, 5.283636, 5.67381, 5.919398 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 4.19, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1570.0, "trend": 6.129667, "fair_value": 5.197878, "relative_strength": -31.620585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.748016, "energy": 93.154598, "activity_lines": [ 4.494, 5.029273, 5.50481, 5.790366 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 4.17, "volume": 2400, "typical_volume": 1690.0, "trend": 6.052, "fair_value": 5.204744, "relative_strength": -33.119445, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.81577, "energy": 90.866061, "activity_lines": [ 4.285333, 4.809636, 5.34681, 5.663935 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 4.18, "volume": 1700, "typical_volume": 1765.0, "trend": 5.964667, "fair_value": 5.214199, "relative_strength": -33.533174, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.176649, "energy": 89.512747, "activity_lines": [ 4.202, 4.630545, 5.202762, 5.543161 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 4.17, "volume": 3600, "typical_volume": 1890.0, "trend": 5.877, "fair_value": 5.222308, "relative_strength": -32.463396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.847872, "energy": 86.656132, "activity_lines": [ 4.176667, 4.473636, 5.069286, 5.427376 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 4.55, "volume": 26300, "typical_volume": 3205.0, "trend": 5.801333, "fair_value": 5.234167, "relative_strength": -25.686428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.050158, "energy": 62.702736, "activity_lines": [ 4.3, 4.419091, 4.980714, 5.341763 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 5.19, "volume": 3100, "typical_volume": 3345.0, "trend": 5.741, "fair_value": 5.250442, "relative_strength": -13.187846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.437895, "energy": 43.568583, "activity_lines": [ 4.612667, 4.507273, 4.96, 5.302323 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 4.6, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 3355.0, "trend": 5.679333, "fair_value": 5.262417, "relative_strength": -23.854571, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.409562, "energy": 34.347093, "activity_lines": [ 4.662, 4.502909, 4.888381, 5.22871 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 3.91, "volume": 4200, "typical_volume": 3555.0, "trend": 5.585, "fair_value": 5.27034, "relative_strength": -34.202747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.133205, "energy": 41.017543, "activity_lines": [ 4.452667, 4.398545, 4.759143, 5.114559 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 3.81, "volume": 4800, "typical_volume": 3775.0, "trend": 5.490333, "fair_value": 5.27809, "relative_strength": -36.118462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.866023, "energy": 50.851072, "activity_lines": [ 4.228, 4.297636, 4.631762, 5.000043 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 3.75, "volume": 2500, "typical_volume": 3860.0, "trend": 5.393667, "fair_value": 5.285462, "relative_strength": -37.273113, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.908854, "energy": 59.302684, "activity_lines": [ 4.007333, 4.198364, 4.508143, 4.887763 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 2.96, "volume": 16000, "typical_volume": 4660.0, "trend": 5.262333, "fair_value": 5.287769, "relative_strength": -50.446769, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.108618, "energy": 91.430803, "activity_lines": [ 3.576667, 3.963455, 4.321429, 4.730753 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 2.46, "volume": 50100, "typical_volume": 7115.0, "trend": 5.114333, "fair_value": 5.286872, "relative_strength": -58.403649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.602537, "energy": 96.011885, "activity_lines": [ 3.128, 3.66, 4.103, 4.549957 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 2.15, "volume": 9400, "typical_volume": 7565.0, "trend": 4.966, "fair_value": 5.280782, "relative_strength": -62.702518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.002929, "energy": 96.8155, "activity_lines": [ 2.718667, 3.331273, 3.873333, 4.35871 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 2.17, "volume": 9800, "typical_volume": 8035.0, "trend": 4.838333, "fair_value": 5.277571, "relative_strength": -61.901049, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.63419, "energy": 93.248854, "activity_lines": [ 2.433333, 3.043091, 3.661524, 4.178323 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 1.94, "volume": 9300, "typical_volume": 8500.0, "trend": 4.703, "fair_value": 5.273205, "relative_strength": -65.645258, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.357778, "energy": 92.521192, "activity_lines": [ 2.180667, 2.749455, 3.446048, 3.991333 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 1.9, "volume": 3500, "typical_volume": 8675.0, "trend": 4.556333, "fair_value": 5.262583, "relative_strength": -66.266173, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.955, "energy": 88.579653, "activity_lines": [ 2.035333, 2.496, 3.246095, 3.810495 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 2.15, "volume": 255100, "typical_volume": 21430.0, "trend": 4.418, "fair_value": 5.253564, "relative_strength": -61.088381, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.89948, "energy": 67.368068, "activity_lines": [ 2.044, 2.347818, 3.089476, 3.655247 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 2.1, "volume": 6900, "typical_volume": 21740.0, "trend": 4.278, "fair_value": 5.245872, "relative_strength": -61.379821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.777352, "energy": 71.804162, "activity_lines": [ 2.056667, 2.235091, 2.946429, 3.505699 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 2.09, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 21555.0, "trend": 4.154333, "fair_value": 5.238199, "relative_strength": -60.93497, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.111916, "energy": 71.923709, "activity_lines": [ 2.069333, 2.153455, 2.816714, 3.364538 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 2.07, "volume": 2700, "typical_volume": 20630.0, "trend": 4.013333, "fair_value": 5.231558, "relative_strength": -61.255045, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.350364, "energy": 69.293368, "activity_lines": [ 2.080667, 2.099455, 2.696571, 3.230065 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 2.0, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 20635.0, "trend": 3.87, "fair_value": 5.224442, "relative_strength": -62.499114, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.908671, "energy": 85.277509, "activity_lines": [ 2.06, 2.063273, 2.579857, 3.100172 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 2.01, "volume": 8200, "typical_volume": 20925.0, "trend": 3.727, "fair_value": 5.217391, "relative_strength": -61.18218, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.773671, "energy": 65.225738, "activity_lines": [ 2.036, 2.046364, 2.474524, 2.980172 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 2.04, "volume": 1900, "typical_volume": 20935.0, "trend": 3.611667, "fair_value": 5.206942, "relative_strength": -60.047824, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.82334, "energy": 63.03519, "activity_lines": [ 2.031333, 2.043091, 2.382333, 2.871333 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 2.0, "volume": 1700, "typical_volume": 20840.0, "trend": 3.478333, "fair_value": 5.196679, "relative_strength": -58.773611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.26426, "energy": 64.914648, "activity_lines": [ 2.017333, 2.034545, 2.296524, 2.767355 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 2.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19525.0, "trend": 3.345, "fair_value": 5.182577, "relative_strength": -57.09719, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.679615, "energy": 66.554773, "activity_lines": [ 2.009333, 2.029091, 2.221048, 2.671978 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 2.05, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 19390.0, "trend": 3.213333, "fair_value": 5.163026, "relative_strength": -54.599284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.751014, "energy": 64.944793, "activity_lines": [ 2.022667, 2.031636, 2.162476, 2.58843 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 1.99, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 19385.0, "trend": 3.079667, "fair_value": 5.135974, "relative_strength": -54.567761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.947197, "energy": 83.371438, "activity_lines": [ 2.012667, 2.020545, 2.113143, 2.509505 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 1.77, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 19425.0, "trend": 2.968667, "fair_value": 5.107513, "relative_strength": -59.201141, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.055228, "energy": 93.988919, "activity_lines": [ 1.930667, 1.972364, 2.055286, 2.425011 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 1.84, "volume": 2300, "typical_volume": 19300.0, "trend": 2.88, "fair_value": 5.0795, "relative_strength": -57.558044, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.020757, "energy": 70.460559, "activity_lines": [ 1.89, 1.942909, 2.014286, 2.352194 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 1.81, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 19190.0, "trend": 2.800667, "fair_value": 5.051936, "relative_strength": -58.053933, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.251087, "energy": 91.620824, "activity_lines": [ 1.85, 1.912545, 1.97981, 2.283161 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 1.84, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 18395.0, "trend": 2.722333, "fair_value": 5.022064, "relative_strength": -57.212188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.170983, "energy": 87.325097, "activity_lines": [ 1.832667, 1.892364, 1.957429, 2.221183 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 1.99, "volume": 2700, "typical_volume": 16025.0, "trend": 2.649667, "fair_value": 4.993154, "relative_strength": -52.164229, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.839813, "energy": 65.518677, "activity_lines": [ 1.879333, 1.902364, 1.954667, 2.173935 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 1.99, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 15580.0, "trend": 2.576667, "fair_value": 4.964244, "relative_strength": -50.907065, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.676547, "energy": 56.273478, "activity_lines": [ 1.926, 1.912727, 1.954143, 2.131376 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 2.04, "volume": 18900, "typical_volume": 16035.0, "trend": 2.505667, "fair_value": 4.935654, "relative_strength": -47.705039, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.851588, "energy": 30.28159, "activity_lines": [ 1.974667, 1.933091, 1.959143, 2.096753 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 2.11, "volume": 6300, "typical_volume": 15885.0, "trend": 2.424333, "fair_value": 4.907513, "relative_strength": -46.56446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.215772, "energy": 21.603796, "activity_lines": [ 2.033333, 1.965455, 1.971429, 2.071226 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 2.07, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 15740.0, "trend": 2.320333, "fair_value": 4.879115, "relative_strength": -47.66752, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.097244, "energy": 17.696279, "activity_lines": [ 2.058667, 1.988545, 1.979095, 2.048366 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 2.09, "volume": 1900, "typical_volume": 3080.0, "trend": 2.236667, "fair_value": 4.850846, "relative_strength": -46.539968, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.019151, "energy": 17.496162, "activity_lines": [ 2.075333, 2.014909, 1.987857, 2.033505 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 2.07, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 2775.0, "trend": 2.175333, "fair_value": 4.819532, "relative_strength": -45.824579, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.787255, "energy": 16.698511, "activity_lines": [ 2.078667, 2.035818, 1.995, 2.022753 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 2.07, "volume": 3600, "typical_volume": 2905.0, "trend": 2.117333, "fair_value": 4.781519, "relative_strength": -43.736383, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.345678, "energy": 12.324368, "activity_lines": [ 2.076667, 2.051273, 2.002286, 2.015957 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 5.29, "volume": 101400, "typical_volume": 7840.0, "trend": 2.168667, "fair_value": 4.763635, "relative_strength": 44.863552, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.260904, "energy": 97.288529, "activity_lines": [ 3.146, 2.648, 2.316333, 2.220645 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 3.89, "volume": 117100, "typical_volume": 13690.0, "trend": 2.199667, "fair_value": 4.745622, "relative_strength": 11.232907, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.83493, "energy": 92.536528, "activity_lines": [ 3.536667, 2.926909, 2.481714, 2.331699 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 3.8, "volume": 26400, "typical_volume": 14600.0, "trend": 2.244333, "fair_value": 4.724468, "relative_strength": 9.298579, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.639874, "energy": 87.898149, "activity_lines": [ 3.776, 3.152182, 2.629524, 2.434946 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 3.73, "volume": 7000, "typical_volume": 14855.0, "trend": 2.297, "fair_value": 4.70341, "relative_strength": 10.223869, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.301457, "energy": 87.25472, "activity_lines": [ 3.878, 3.331818, 2.762143, 2.530796 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 3.4, "volume": 5700, "typical_volume": 15055.0, "trend": 2.338, "fair_value": 4.681615, "relative_strength": 4.066808, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.509224, "energy": 57.016739, "activity_lines": [ 3.759333, 3.419818, 2.855286, 2.601957 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 3.48, "volume": 3400, "typical_volume": 15225.0, "trend": 2.389333, "fair_value": 4.660859, "relative_strength": 7.913116, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.148015, "energy": 46.631215, "activity_lines": [ 3.578667, 3.497636, 2.949381, 2.675634 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 3.5, "volume": 1400, "typical_volume": 15275.0, "trend": 2.442667, "fair_value": 4.640231, "relative_strength": 11.292453, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.456645, "energy": 34.713401, "activity_lines": [ 3.525333, 3.554182, 3.038333, 2.74729 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 3.6, "volume": 9800, "typical_volume": 15760.0, "trend": 2.491, "fair_value": 4.620244, "relative_strength": 18.184521, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.153395, "energy": 30.19501, "activity_lines": [ 3.531333, 3.602909, 3.129905, 2.821957 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 3.41, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 15520.0, "trend": 2.534667, "fair_value": 4.599038, "relative_strength": 14.33449, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.482503, "energy": 27.686268, "activity_lines": [ 3.487333, 3.589636, 3.195714, 2.881247 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 3.5, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 15435.0, "trend": 2.581667, "fair_value": 4.57841, "relative_strength": 19.41338, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.463105, "energy": 26.383158, "activity_lines": [ 3.494667, 3.568364, 3.262286, 2.943527 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 3.4, "volume": 7400, "typical_volume": 15790.0, "trend": 2.626, "fair_value": 4.557141, "relative_strength": 16.195667, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.753674, "energy": 22.061851, "activity_lines": [ 3.462, 3.502909, 3.311429, 2.996323 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 3.65, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 15935.0, "trend": 2.681, "fair_value": 4.537474, "relative_strength": 28.837026, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.120981, "energy": 25.702573, "activity_lines": [ 3.518, 3.517273, 3.37681, 3.062387 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 3.64, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 15805.0, "trend": 2.735333, "fair_value": 4.517744, "relative_strength": 28.646701, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.072101, "energy": 26.682455, "activity_lines": [ 3.560667, 3.534182, 3.432619, 3.124258 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 3.3, "volume": 2100, "typical_volume": 15885.0, "trend": 2.777333, "fair_value": 4.495833, "relative_strength": 18.456764, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.167632, "energy": 22.236252, "activity_lines": [ 3.487333, 3.492182, 3.44819, 3.160688 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 3.56, "volume": 9300, "typical_volume": 15405.0, "trend": 2.829333, "fair_value": 4.47559, "relative_strength": 30.670197, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.268005, "energy": 28.366838, "activity_lines": [ 3.508, 3.505273, 3.482286, 3.211183 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 3.98, "volume": 1300, "typical_volume": 15155.0, "trend": 2.895333, "fair_value": 4.458038, "relative_strength": 48.065064, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.455042, "energy": 37.120573, "activity_lines": [ 3.664667, 3.591818, 3.549143, 3.285419 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 3.98, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15125.0, "trend": 2.959667, "fair_value": 4.440487, "relative_strength": 49.976557, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.229788, "energy": 45.48929, "activity_lines": [ 3.782667, 3.669273, 3.607095, 3.355398 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 4.0, "volume": 2100, "typical_volume": 15135.0, "trend": 3.026667, "fair_value": 4.423064, "relative_strength": 50.460405, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.044673, "energy": 52.820762, "activity_lines": [ 3.885333, 3.741636, 3.657857, 3.422516 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 3.56, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 15170.0, "trend": 3.086333, "fair_value": 4.402821, "relative_strength": 31.392174, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.467716, "energy": 40.422408, "activity_lines": [ 3.817333, 3.726727, 3.657619, 3.456925 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 3.5, "volume": 7000, "typical_volume": 15340.0, "trend": 3.141667, "fair_value": 4.382192, "relative_strength": 29.87435, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.666326, "energy": 26.674049, "activity_lines": [ 3.712, 3.698182, 3.644571, 3.483613 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 3.5, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 10345.0, "trend": 3.198, "fair_value": 4.361564, "relative_strength": 26.407853, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.937401, "energy": 14.032626, "activity_lines": [ 3.610667, 3.669636, 3.624714, 3.506731 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 3.5, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 4640.0, "trend": 3.253333, "fair_value": 4.340936, "relative_strength": 28.133525, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.680828, "energy": 16.10232, "activity_lines": [ 3.541333, 3.639273, 3.613381, 3.526215 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 3.5, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 3350.0, "trend": 3.303667, "fair_value": 4.320308, "relative_strength": 24.7367, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.518193, "energy": 15.501681, "activity_lines": [ 3.504, 3.611636, 3.603905, 3.542129 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 3.5, "volume": 1900, "typical_volume": 3095.0, "trend": 3.354, "fair_value": 4.299679, "relative_strength": 25.294106, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.013835, "energy": 10.943496, "activity_lines": [ 3.5, 3.586545, 3.595857, 3.554796 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 3.5, "volume": 1400, "typical_volume": 2880.0, "trend": 3.402667, "fair_value": 4.279051, "relative_strength": 28.646121, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.919788, "energy": 9.393972, "activity_lines": [ 3.5, 3.557818, 3.588905, 3.564215 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 3.5, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 2715.0, "trend": 3.449, "fair_value": 4.258423, "relative_strength": 25.142805, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.891964, "energy": 8.01723, "activity_lines": [ 3.5, 3.530182, 3.581476, 3.570495 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 3.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2645.0, "trend": 3.496667, "fair_value": 4.243038, "relative_strength": 20.300527, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.8209, "energy": 7.859435, "activity_lines": [ 3.5, 3.511273, 3.573952, 3.573785 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 3.5, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 2230.0, "trend": 3.543667, "fair_value": 4.2315, "relative_strength": 16.114938, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.558319, "energy": 14.094788, "activity_lines": [ 3.5, 3.501091, 3.566429, 3.574 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 3.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2220.0, "trend": 3.591333, "fair_value": 4.219962, "relative_strength": 15.364904, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.884363, "energy": 39.738112, "activity_lines": [ 3.5, 3.5, 3.559381, 3.571183 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 3.4, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 2240.0, "trend": 3.635667, "fair_value": 4.207782, "relative_strength": 15.219944, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.161117, "energy": 53.44871, "activity_lines": [ 3.466667, 3.481818, 3.542381, 3.558839 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 3.25, "volume": 4700, "typical_volume": 2105.0, "trend": 3.567667, "fair_value": 4.194641, "relative_strength": 8.975743, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.396701, "energy": 81.807642, "activity_lines": [ 3.39, 3.438182, 3.511571, 3.533957 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 3.25, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1955.0, "trend": 3.546333, "fair_value": 4.1815, "relative_strength": 6.587564, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.404181, "energy": 95.581156, "activity_lines": [ 3.33, 3.399091, 3.481476, 3.513462 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 3.7, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 1955.0, "trend": 3.543, "fair_value": 4.171244, "relative_strength": 15.712415, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.012215, "energy": 65.230768, "activity_lines": [ 3.436667, 3.446364, 3.496143, 3.523376 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 3.7, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1850.0, "trend": 3.542, "fair_value": 4.160987, "relative_strength": 14.279852, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.679558, "energy": 10.020756, "activity_lines": [ 3.53, 3.49, 3.510524, 3.533505 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 3.85, "volume": 2900, "typical_volume": 1530.0, "trend": 3.557, "fair_value": 4.151692, "relative_strength": 16.547774, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 50.325565, "energy": 53.853606, "activity_lines": [ 3.66, 3.557273, 3.537286, 3.553376 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 4.5, "volume": 1400, "typical_volume": 1535.0, "trend": 3.591, "fair_value": 4.146564, "relative_strength": 31.886441, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.241665, "energy": 77.817916, "activity_lines": [ 3.976667, 3.736364, 3.624571, 3.614215 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 4.45, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 1585.0, "trend": 3.622667, "fair_value": 4.141115, "relative_strength": 30.058148, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.453356, "energy": 97.130142, "activity_lines": [ 4.193333, 3.888182, 3.704619, 3.669634 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 4.45, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1480.0, "trend": 3.651, "fair_value": 4.135667, "relative_strength": 29.203721, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.553749, "energy": 94.866955, "activity_lines": [ 4.33, 4.022727, 3.782429, 3.723011 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 4.1, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 1415.0, "trend": 3.674, "fair_value": 4.127974, "relative_strength": 18.656902, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.392191, "energy": 88.517302, "activity_lines": [ 4.3, 4.076364, 3.824762, 3.751978 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 3.7, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 1070.0, "trend": 3.680667, "fair_value": 4.117718, "relative_strength": 5.388543, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.730529, "energy": 53.559159, "activity_lines": [ 4.11, 4.046364, 3.826429, 3.753656 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 3.7, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 995.0, "trend": 3.690667, "fair_value": 4.107462, "relative_strength": 4.48948, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.423216, "energy": 24.401495, "activity_lines": [ 3.93, 4.010909, 3.827143, 3.754903 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 3.5, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 860.0, "trend": 3.685667, "fair_value": 4.095923, "relative_strength": -1.762449, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.688665, "energy": 23.17586, "activity_lines": [ 3.736667, 3.930909, 3.807857, 3.742602 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 3.47, "volume": 2900, "typical_volume": 975.0, "trend": 3.68, "fair_value": 4.084192, "relative_strength": -6.483583, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.898413, "energy": 32.836222, "activity_lines": [ 3.596667, 3.840909, 3.785714, 3.728688 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 3.5, "volume": 1200, "typical_volume": 940.0, "trend": 3.686667, "fair_value": 4.072654, "relative_strength": -2.824527, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.541096, "energy": 33.64073, "activity_lines": [ 3.532, 3.760545, 3.766571, 3.717075 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 3.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 870.0, "trend": 3.684667, "fair_value": 4.061115, "relative_strength": -1.543171, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.12339, "energy": 33.046816, "activity_lines": [ 3.507333, 3.683818, 3.747429, 3.705032 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 3.49, "volume": 1800, "typical_volume": 955.0, "trend": 3.668333, "fair_value": 4.049513, "relative_strength": -2.668327, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.789844, "energy": 32.935857, "activity_lines": [ 3.492667, 3.611636, 3.727333, 3.692473 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 3.49, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 955.0, "trend": 3.652, "fair_value": 4.03791, "relative_strength": -2.577093, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.635675, "energy": 26.222083, "activity_lines": [ 3.492, 3.557818, 3.707286, 3.680968 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 4.49, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 930.0, "trend": 3.668333, "fair_value": 4.034962, "relative_strength": 20.6838, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.094282, "energy": 27.087593, "activity_lines": [ 3.825333, 3.703273, 3.782524, 3.735032 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 4.2, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 1005.0, "trend": 3.689667, "fair_value": 4.030154, "relative_strength": 11.333953, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.236321, "energy": 37.039591, "activity_lines": [ 3.994, 3.795273, 3.825429, 3.769333 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 6.49, "volume": 27900, "typical_volume": 2350.0, "trend": 3.789333, "fair_value": 4.042917, "relative_strength": 66.35192, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.677802, "energy": 91.346534, "activity_lines": [ 4.879333, 4.301818, 4.083095, 3.95 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 5.7, "volume": 18400, "typical_volume": 3035.0, "trend": 3.862667, "fair_value": 4.053686, "relative_strength": 40.143506, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.653998, "energy": 92.066301, "activity_lines": [ 5.302, 4.614, 4.25081, 4.073269 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 5.43, "volume": 7000, "typical_volume": 3385.0, "trend": 3.927, "fair_value": 4.062724, "relative_strength": 30.387251, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.288664, "energy": 87.184842, "activity_lines": [ 5.487333, 4.840727, 4.381143, 4.174387 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 6.0, "volume": 6000, "typical_volume": 3680.0, "trend": 4.010333, "fair_value": 4.075609, "relative_strength": 44.166531, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.973448, "energy": 92.141949, "activity_lines": [ 5.733333, 5.136, 4.555381, 4.308129 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 6.0, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 3685.0, "trend": 4.093667, "fair_value": 4.088494, "relative_strength": 39.564469, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.776744, "energy": 86.188253, "activity_lines": [ 5.878667, 5.385273, 4.718667, 4.436495 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 6.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3540.0, "trend": 4.177, "fair_value": 4.099391, "relative_strength": 38.822214, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.843927, "energy": 79.184378, "activity_lines": [ 5.904, 5.589091, 4.871, 4.559484 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 5.61, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 3480.0, "trend": 4.247333, "fair_value": 4.107147, "relative_strength": 30.028194, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.403702, "energy": 64.244501, "activity_lines": [ 5.832, 5.676545, 4.975952, 4.651935 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 5.3, "volume": 2500, "typical_volume": 3555.0, "trend": 4.307333, "fair_value": 4.112917, "relative_strength": 24.992211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.379425, "energy": 50.96598, "activity_lines": [ 5.662667, 5.669091, 5.046095, 4.719849 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 5.97, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 3565.0, "trend": 4.389667, "fair_value": 4.122981, "relative_strength": 36.817173, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.549272, "energy": 48.242487, "activity_lines": [ 5.725333, 5.750545, 5.176, 4.827118 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 5.97, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 3570.0, "trend": 4.472, "fair_value": 4.133045, "relative_strength": 33.053068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.135686, "energy": 46.256732, "activity_lines": [ 5.79, 5.805091, 5.298667, 4.929075 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 5.97, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3565.0, "trend": 4.557667, "fair_value": 4.14566, "relative_strength": 29.100076, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.038753, "energy": 48.86685, "activity_lines": [ 5.856667, 5.827455, 5.412429, 5.02572 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 5.99, "volume": 2200, "typical_volume": 3675.0, "trend": 4.649, "fair_value": 4.158423, "relative_strength": 24.781909, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.615048, "energy": 55.756395, "activity_lines": [ 5.932, 5.862909, 5.517286, 5.118129 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 5.99, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3660.0, "trend": 4.740333, "fair_value": 4.171186, "relative_strength": 21.083637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.586429, "energy": 66.191103, "activity_lines": [ 5.982, 5.893091, 5.611238, 5.204645 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 5.7, "volume": 1100, "typical_volume": 3570.0, "trend": 4.807, "fair_value": 4.18209, "relative_strength": 16.680718, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.711874, "energy": 77.078545, "activity_lines": [ 5.889333, 5.860364, 5.665714, 5.266559 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 5.5, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 3530.0, "trend": 4.867, "fair_value": 4.191712, "relative_strength": 9.17394, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.804178, "energy": 63.618041, "activity_lines": [ 5.748, 5.796727, 5.690524, 5.311269 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 5.5, "volume": 1400, "typical_volume": 3600.0, "trend": 4.922, "fair_value": 4.201333, "relative_strength": 9.951565, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.743902, "energy": 28.426323, "activity_lines": [ 5.638, 5.742182, 5.70581, 5.352108 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 5.4, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 3515.0, "trend": 4.952, "fair_value": 4.210314, "relative_strength": 5.218988, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.294235, "energy": 35.161345, "activity_lines": [ 5.526, 5.678545, 5.702048, 5.382946 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 5.19, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 3530.0, "trend": 4.976667, "fair_value": 4.217949, "relative_strength": 2.368741, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -12.72361, "energy": 33.461998, "activity_lines": [ 5.383333, 5.580545, 5.66919, 5.398301 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 5.19, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3480.0, "trend": 5.001333, "fair_value": 4.225583, "relative_strength": 0.877184, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.51082, "energy": 36.8598, "activity_lines": [ 5.294, 5.484545, 5.628238, 5.412065 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 5.19, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3405.0, "trend": 5.037667, "fair_value": 4.233218, "relative_strength": 1.178112, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.885477, "energy": 49.774464, "activity_lines": [ 5.238667, 5.402727, 5.583952, 5.424237 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 5.19, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2010.0, "trend": 5.087333, "fair_value": 4.240853, "relative_strength": -0.462205, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -12.864547, "energy": 54.794776, "activity_lines": [ 5.204, 5.335091, 5.534952, 5.434065 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 5.19, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1090.0, "trend": 5.137, "fair_value": 4.248487, "relative_strength": -1.468155, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -12.141657, "energy": 66.97519, "activity_lines": [ 5.19, 5.281636, 5.492143, 5.440688 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 4.85, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 780.0, "trend": 5.182, "fair_value": 4.253942, "relative_strength": -15.085662, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -60.330502, "energy": 65.446178, "activity_lines": [ 5.076667, 5.180909, 5.419381, 5.422172 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 4.83, "volume": 700, "typical_volume": 515.0, "trend": 5.227333, "fair_value": 4.259269, "relative_strength": -16.547713, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.137033, "energy": 51.403321, "activity_lines": [ 4.979333, 5.097273, 5.347476, 5.399462 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 4.83, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 510.0, "trend": 5.271667, "fair_value": 4.264596, "relative_strength": -17.187078, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.811393, "energy": 52.508527, "activity_lines": [ 4.906, 5.029455, 5.281143, 5.373828 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 4.4, "volume": 1100, "typical_volume": 565.0, "trend": 5.301667, "fair_value": 4.26716, "relative_strength": -25.815791, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -59.320666, "energy": 59.136728, "activity_lines": [ 4.713333, 4.895636, 5.179429, 5.317591 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 4.8, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 560.0, "trend": 5.345333, "fair_value": 4.272288, "relative_strength": -20.688328, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.298, "energy": 66.608694, "activity_lines": [ 4.706667, 4.854545, 5.123429, 5.285226 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 4.8, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 435.0, "trend": 5.389, "fair_value": 4.277417, "relative_strength": -19.805027, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.588997, "energy": 63.63028, "activity_lines": [ 4.726, 4.824364, 5.071286, 5.250043 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 4.8, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 425.0, "trend": 5.399333, "fair_value": 4.282551, "relative_strength": -15.529327, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.933725, "energy": 55.816527, "activity_lines": [ 4.748667, 4.801273, 5.021524, 5.212043 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 4.02, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 435.0, "trend": 5.393333, "fair_value": 4.282686, "relative_strength": -28.377885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.607433, "energy": 67.068385, "activity_lines": [ 4.513333, 4.643455, 4.903048, 5.123054 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 4.02, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 440.0, "trend": 5.311, "fair_value": 4.282821, "relative_strength": -27.635007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.77918, "energy": 89.339183, "activity_lines": [ 4.332, 4.506909, 4.793857, 5.034452 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 4.02, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 330.0, "trend": 5.255, "fair_value": 4.282308, "relative_strength": -29.573892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.764395, "energy": 90.187834, "activity_lines": [ 4.176, 4.391636, 4.693952, 4.951161 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 4.01, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 340.0, "trend": 5.207667, "fair_value": 4.283974, "relative_strength": -31.950916, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.797295, "energy": 88.966411, "activity_lines": [ 4.068667, 4.295818, 4.602476, 4.870839 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 4.51, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 290.0, "trend": 5.158, "fair_value": 4.287244, "relative_strength": -26.945749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.771665, "energy": 63.990797, "activity_lines": [ 4.180667, 4.306182, 4.568048, 4.825828 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 4.51, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 270.0, "trend": 5.108333, "fair_value": 4.290513, "relative_strength": -26.260479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.760479, "energy": 48.98166, "activity_lines": [ 4.312, 4.322364, 4.539286, 4.784022 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 4.51, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 200.0, "trend": 5.058667, "fair_value": 4.289936, "relative_strength": -24.153653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.195911, "energy": 36.978879, "activity_lines": [ 4.410667, 4.344364, 4.515238, 4.745419 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 4.51, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 195.0, "trend": 5.022, "fair_value": 4.282949, "relative_strength": -22.608319, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.672235, "energy": 37.709725, "activity_lines": [ 4.476667, 4.364364, 4.495905, 4.710022 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 4.51, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 180.0, "trend": 4.995667, "fair_value": 4.267628, "relative_strength": -21.078156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.972868, "energy": 32.812324, "activity_lines": [ 4.51, 4.389636, 4.48081, 4.676989 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 4.51, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 180.0, "trend": 4.947, "fair_value": 4.258077, "relative_strength": -17.68887, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.853162, "energy": 44.802698, "activity_lines": [ 4.51, 4.420182, 4.468952, 4.645656 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 3.66, "volume": 20200, "typical_volume": 1190.0, "trend": 4.87, "fair_value": 4.239872, "relative_strength": -32.309846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.500922, "energy": 60.937508, "activity_lines": [ 4.226667, 4.301455, 4.379381, 4.562624 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 4.0, "volume": 1600, "typical_volume": 1270.0, "trend": 4.804333, "fair_value": 4.221923, "relative_strength": -24.543383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.426583, "energy": 59.688258, "activity_lines": [ 4.113333, 4.251091, 4.329476, 4.506495 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 4.0, "volume": 1700, "typical_volume": 1355.0, "trend": 4.738, "fair_value": 4.203974, "relative_strength": -22.097113, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.430385, "energy": 70.694844, "activity_lines": [ 4.034, 4.201091, 4.285238, 4.454602 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 4.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1315.0, "trend": 4.671667, "fair_value": 4.185897, "relative_strength": -22.884107, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.019658, "energy": 83.881172, "activity_lines": [ 3.988667, 4.151455, 4.246667, 4.406989 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 3.28, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 1290.0, "trend": 4.591, "fair_value": 4.162051, "relative_strength": -35.497747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.796471, "energy": 95.41591, "activity_lines": [ 3.737333, 3.971091, 4.143571, 4.317204 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 3.18, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1290.0, "trend": 4.513667, "fair_value": 4.14109, "relative_strength": -38.885801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.107227, "energy": 96.55115, "activity_lines": [ 3.534667, 3.794909, 4.038333, 4.226172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.17, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 1240.0, "trend": 4.436, "fair_value": 4.118205, "relative_strength": -39.170584, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.449654, "energy": 94.434298, "activity_lines": [ 3.360667, 3.641091, 3.94, 4.139484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.17, "volume": 2200, "typical_volume": 1345.0, "trend": 4.328333, "fair_value": 4.089487, "relative_strength": -58.845191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -97.809325, "energy": 99.083597, "activity_lines": [ 2.908667, 3.329818, 3.752286, 3.99329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.17, "volume": 2800, "typical_volume": 1485.0, "trend": 4.227667, "fair_value": 4.060769, "relative_strength": -57.482326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.094188, "energy": 97.497645, "activity_lines": [ 2.578667, 3.061091, 3.577095, 3.854043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.7, "volume": 4100, "typical_volume": 1690.0, "trend": 4.111333, "fair_value": 4.027436, "relative_strength": -66.393913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -95.197303, "energy": 98.162681, "activity_lines": [ 2.214, 2.749455, 3.369667, 3.690968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.7, "volume": 1200, "typical_volume": 1725.0, "trend": 3.995, "fair_value": 3.994103, "relative_strength": -66.771607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.419948, "energy": 94.504442, "activity_lines": [ 1.954667, 2.488909, 3.177, 3.535398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.8, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 1740.0, "trend": 3.882, "fair_value": 3.963333, "relative_strength": -63.140762, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.708302, "energy": 81.919286, "activity_lines": [ 1.827333, 2.282182, 3.004905, 3.393785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }