{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e8598f5f-2b0b-482b-9097-d8af4053c31d", "symbol": "EMGS", "name": "Electromagnetic Geoservices ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.116, "architecture_energy": 69.912, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 62.606, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.43, "rotation_up": 69.31, "upward_expansion": 83.32, "deceleration": 52.67, "rotation_down": 8.1, "downward_expansion": 14.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.4236, 0.332973, 0.276543, 0.271348 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.408, "trend_reference": 0.262533, "distance_from_trend": 0.554088, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.630112, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.74971, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.818435, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.271028, "excess_performance": 0.146034, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.554088, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033799, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.74971, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130915, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318184, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.48118, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.271028, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.55776, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15752523, "relative_activity": 2.377531, "balance": 2.55776, "dry_up": 2.611793, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.265743, "annualized_volatility": 2.210565, "from_high_reference": -0.8, "from_low_reference": 2.371901 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.262533, "fair_value_reference": 1.630112, "structural_low": 0.155, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.051716, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.064917, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.378897, "worst_return": -0.223684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.178947, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.175621, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.005102, "worst_return": -0.207843, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.158824, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.234472, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.107143, "worst_return": -0.35, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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0.216462, 0.230438 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.224, "volume": 338377, "typical_volume": 8317099.3, "trend": 0.23795, "fair_value": 1.672869, "relative_strength": -67.384832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.577903, "energy": 21.634394, "activity_lines": [ 0.209367, 0.200082, 0.214507, 0.229439 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.242, "volume": 10299434, "typical_volume": 5294116.6, "trend": 0.237183, "fair_value": 1.657689, "relative_strength": -63.527876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.676917, "energy": 17.665527, "activity_lines": [ 0.222667, 0.208527, 0.2144, 0.2297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.73, "volume": 42828248, "typical_volume": 6186843.6, "trend": 0.255267, "fair_value": 1.645061, "relative_strength": 14.764952, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.183784, "energy": 87.139707, "activity_lines": [ 0.394667, 0.3049, 0.26184, 0.261495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.408, "volume": 15752523, "typical_volume": 6625579.65, "trend": 0.262533, "fair_value": 1.630112, "relative_strength": -31.818435, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.116338, "energy": 69.912423, "activity_lines": [ 0.4236, 0.332973, 0.276543, 0.271348 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }