{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e8701ee1-6029-479d-b454-f479df360bfc", "symbol": "QQQ3", "name": "WisdomTree NASDAQ 100 3x Daily Leveraged", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.34, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.321, "architecture_energy": 22.174, "architecture_maturity": 80.247, "architecture_confidence": 94.137, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.93, "rotation_up": 21.03, "upward_expansion": 48.33, "deceleration": 85.11, "rotation_down": 40.01, "downward_expansion": 28.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 401.493996, 416.599634, 422.47207, 396.494482 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 434.279999, "trend_reference": 364.762832, "distance_from_trend": 0.190582, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 240.615339, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.804872, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.608168, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.48226, "excess_performance": 0.431025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.190582, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120274, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.804872, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248246, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.186082, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254178, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.48226, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.275045, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 62391, "relative_activity": 1.62761, "balance": 1.275045, "dry_up": 1.39587, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108769, "annualized_volatility": 0.578445, "from_high_reference": -0.133675, "from_low_reference": 0.92611 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 364.762832, "fair_value_reference": 240.615339, "structural_low": 225.470001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.00959, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.011231, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.34422, "worst_return": -0.256628, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.127781, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.072859, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.41934, "worst_return": -0.460504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.434953, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.369772, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.624506, "worst_return": -0.174273, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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443.479091, 420.114808, 389.603504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 382.769989, "volume": 36388, "typical_volume": 34560.5, "trend": 359.226666, "fair_value": 237.039698, "relative_strength": 7.14657, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.928754, "energy": 23.492709, "activity_lines": [ 409.870663, 431.000452, 420.219807, 391.248428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 367.404999, "volume": 84120, "typical_volume": 36890.05, "trend": 361.144499, "fair_value": 238.575819, "relative_strength": 1.217799, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.341904, "energy": 18.854487, "activity_lines": [ 392.399662, 416.869089, 418.39095, 391.776063 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 434.279999, "volume": 62391, "typical_volume": 38332.9, "trend": 364.762832, "fair_value": 240.615339, "relative_strength": 18.608168, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.320685, "energy": 22.17444, "activity_lines": [ 401.493996, 416.599634, 422.47207, 396.494482 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }