{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e872034d-5023-4789-b8d3-d5d415aaa88f", "symbol": "600467", "name": "Shandong Homey Aquatic Development Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.885, "architecture_energy": 23.83, "architecture_maturity": 86.853, "architecture_confidence": 74.146, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.18, "rotation_up": 27.96, "upward_expansion": 20.95, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 26.95, "downward_expansion": 59.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.191613, 2.15171, 2.206249, 2.282668 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.28, "trend_reference": 2.395361, "distance_from_trend": -0.04816, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.253822, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011615, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.587647, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.170909, "excess_performance": -0.127705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.04816, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067711, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.011615, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074957, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065876, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02808, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.170909, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.877872, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 151947092, "relative_activity": 1.325659, "balance": 0.877872, "dry_up": 1.163705, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052648, "annualized_volatility": 0.248942, "from_high_reference": -0.311178, "from_low_reference": 0.143176 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.395361, "fair_value_reference": 2.253822, "structural_low": 1.994443, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.003891, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.001157, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.154839, "worst_return": -0.252631, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.002881, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020407, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.52349, "worst_return": -0.268022, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.046941, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.006031, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.493151, "worst_return": -0.379602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2.444694, "fair_value": 2.258359, "relative_strength": -8.257169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.054718, "energy": 70.952333, "activity_lines": [ 2.098825, 2.136846, 2.23807, 2.328093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.09, "volume": 112042660, "typical_volume": 140110560.9, "trend": 2.423361, "fair_value": 2.25624, "relative_strength": -12.048207, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.907646, "energy": 56.528003, "activity_lines": [ 2.099031, 2.119922, 2.2154, 2.305209 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.2, "volume": 119901524, "typical_volume": 132919004.2, "trend": 2.406028, "fair_value": 2.254933, "relative_strength": -7.572155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.36244, "energy": 40.614812, "activity_lines": [ 2.138176, 2.127725, 2.20592, 2.290799 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.28, "volume": 151947092, "typical_volume": 114620083.0, "trend": 2.395361, "fair_value": 2.253822, "relative_strength": -6.587647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.885193, "energy": 23.829992, "activity_lines": [ 2.191613, 2.15171, 2.206249, 2.282668 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }