{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e87c6c84-6543-4e8d-a4d7-16d69b27cf09", "symbol": "600594", "name": "Guizhou Yibai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.476, "architecture_energy": 22.175, "architecture_maturity": 74.698, "architecture_confidence": 68.98, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.29, "rotation_up": 34.92, "upward_expansion": 22.13, "deceleration": 43.91, "rotation_down": 18.11, "downward_expansion": 53.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.532667, 3.395455, 3.528571, 3.675376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.75, "trend_reference": 3.841333, "distance_from_trend": -0.023776, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.116559, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089045, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.811359, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.076355, "excess_performance": -0.033151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023776, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069595, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089045, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060587, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058114, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023929, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076355, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.982439, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 161920738, "relative_activity": 0.79702, "balance": 0.982439, "dry_up": 0.943466, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084923, "annualized_volatility": 0.441826, "from_high_reference": -0.288425, "from_low_reference": 0.27551 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.841333, "fair_value_reference": 4.116559, "structural_low": 2.94, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.013283, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.013656, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.265781, "worst_return": -0.220141, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.001894, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.031963, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.29932, "worst_return": -0.198276, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.137399, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.101995, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.214286, "worst_return": -0.352731, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.177423, "energy": 75.620226, "activity_lines": [ 3.184, 3.303455, 3.636905, 3.774753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.39, "volume": 181058860, "typical_volume": 182625046.55, "trend": 3.902667, "fair_value": 4.146689, "relative_strength": -12.367452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.829493, "energy": 61.404872, "activity_lines": [ 3.256, 3.289455, 3.594571, 3.740538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.3, "volume": 191723234, "typical_volume": 188969022.6, "trend": 3.868333, "fair_value": 4.134961, "relative_strength": -15.287579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.224629, "energy": 39.639322, "activity_lines": [ 3.291333, 3.273273, 3.547095, 3.701656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.56, "volume": 231986358, "typical_volume": 198118004.4, "trend": 3.849, "fair_value": 4.124963, "relative_strength": -8.636339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.201615, "energy": 26.600139, "activity_lines": [ 3.400667, 3.315636, 3.527762, 3.681763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.75, "volume": 161920738, "typical_volume": 203157688.25, "trend": 3.841333, "fair_value": 4.116559, "relative_strength": -5.811359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.476495, "energy": 22.174907, "activity_lines": [ 3.532667, 3.395455, 3.528571, 3.675376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }