{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e8b1670f-0fcd-402c-b4ca-d253dd90d150", "symbol": "RL", "name": "Ralph Lauren Corp Class A", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.263, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.854, "architecture_energy": 19.844, "architecture_maturity": 58.313, "architecture_confidence": 84.346, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.58, "rotation_up": 25.85, "upward_expansion": 53.98, "deceleration": 90.52, "rotation_down": 27.69, "downward_expansion": 17.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 385.036667, 389.872258, 383.120346, 375.771696 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 395.53, "trend_reference": 368.174784, "distance_from_trend": 0.0743, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 243.030512, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.627491, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.409149, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.156729, "excess_performance": 0.031105, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0743, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035239, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.627491, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007505, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004091, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023632, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.156729, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.129782, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4487926, "relative_activity": 1.405168, "balance": 1.129782, "dry_up": 0.97449, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073555, "annualized_volatility": 0.387701, "from_high_reference": -0.059554, "from_low_reference": 0.406719 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 368.174784, "fair_value_reference": 243.030512, "structural_low": 316.460323, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.002593, "positive_rate": 0.575758, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": 0.004752, "regime_survival": 0.787879, "best_return": 0.251878, "worst_return": -0.193208, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.003937, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.017106, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.342867, "worst_return": -0.154011, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.197819, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.096193, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.321502, "worst_return": -0.213157, "sufficient": true }, { 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373.066486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 380.34, "volume": 2485471, "typical_volume": 3139132.85, "trend": 367.283233, "fair_value": 241.240537, "relative_strength": 0.162022, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.729624, "energy": 19.021554, "activity_lines": [ 381.692667, 388.545631, 380.908018, 373.949324 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 395.53, "volume": 4487926, "typical_volume": 3193872.35, "trend": 368.174784, "fair_value": 243.030512, "relative_strength": 0.409149, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.853661, "energy": 19.843748, "activity_lines": [ 385.036667, 389.872258, 383.120346, 375.771696 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }