{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e8b497c9-5dd2-42f7-b667-fdc9168eca74", "symbol": "V3PA", "name": "Vanguard ESG Developed Asia Pacific All Cap UCITS ETF USD Accumulating", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.968, "architecture_energy": 26.51, "architecture_maturity": 66.285, "architecture_confidence": 88.009, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.27, "rotation_up": 20.73, "upward_expansion": 55.09, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 39.8, "downward_expansion": 21.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.651067, 10.848291, 10.804145, 10.534505 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 10.853, "trend_reference": 10.180417, "distance_from_trend": 0.066066, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.556865, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.436177, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.171825, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.144831, "excess_performance": 0.093596, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066066, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089825, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.436177, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067736, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.071718, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126355, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.144831, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.67872, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 132639, "relative_activity": 4.410406, "balance": 0.67872, "dry_up": 2.413938, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04197, "annualized_volatility": 0.278609, "from_high_reference": -0.070805, "from_low_reference": 0.389451 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.180417, "fair_value_reference": 7.556865, "structural_low": 8.763, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018108, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.044868, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016603, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.010938, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.10575, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001567, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": 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10.640245, 10.30696 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.126, "volume": 44757, "typical_volume": 54492.7, "trend": 9.92295, "fair_value": 7.444003, "relative_strength": 15.475545, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.484254, "energy": 61.592593, "activity_lines": [ 11.271467, 11.178273, 10.723338, 10.390449 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.464, "volume": 45551, "typical_volume": 48785.25, "trend": 9.990633, "fair_value": 7.471321, "relative_strength": 7.192034, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.28619, "energy": 38.162764, "activity_lines": [ 10.992133, 11.069018, 10.73794, 10.425356 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.569, "volume": 31589, "typical_volume": 24299.9, "trend": 10.057967, "fair_value": 7.498484, "relative_strength": 6.569322, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.12892, "energy": 26.125269, "activity_lines": [ 10.793133, 10.984273, 10.761552, 10.46267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.435, "volume": 80609, "typical_volume": 24351.95, "trend": 10.116583, "fair_value": 7.526038, "relative_strength": 3.648014, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.047872, "energy": 25.943542, "activity_lines": [ 10.622867, 10.875436, 10.766093, 10.486995 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.853, "volume": 132639, "typical_volume": 30074.1, "trend": 10.180417, "fair_value": 7.556865, "relative_strength": 7.171825, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.967835, "energy": 26.509925, "activity_lines": [ 10.651067, 10.848291, 10.804145, 10.534505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }