{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e8b7d650-2edd-42b7-8aae-6f60d6667793", "symbol": "DAL", "name": "Delta Air Lines, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.877, "architecture_energy": 57.858, "architecture_maturity": 97.709, "architecture_confidence": 60.755, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.57, "rotation_up": 47.94, "upward_expansion": 77.06, "deceleration": 71.37, "rotation_down": 29.32, "downward_expansion": 15.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.703334, 76.684602, 72.596024, 68.675787 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 79.120003, "trend_reference": 64.288113, "distance_from_trend": 0.23071, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.501236, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.631299, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.434909, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.269129, "excess_performance": 0.094882, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.23071, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111592, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.631299, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.275131, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.094349, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086411, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.269129, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.215827, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.215827, "dry_up": 0.060827, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052424, "annualized_volatility": 0.379931, "from_high_reference": -0.032452, "from_low_reference": 0.739009 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.288113, "fair_value_reference": 48.501236, "structural_low": 48.033894, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.018662, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.042233, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.167737, "worst_return": -0.272429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.154666, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.1389, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.207668, "worst_return": -0.254867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.059519, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.112584, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.161544, "worst_return": -0.252552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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83.428496, "activity_lines": [ 77.075471, 75.012246, 69.470292, 66.033417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 75.220001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 90.75, "trend": 63.144047, "fair_value": 48.007863, "relative_strength": 8.015412, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.739827, "energy": 63.092546, "activity_lines": [ 76.396309, 75.515879, 70.479894, 66.845398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.110001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 82.2, "trend": 63.714933, "fair_value": 48.244809, "relative_strength": 8.861108, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.598554, "energy": 50.888893, "activity_lines": [ 75.874322, 75.919695, 71.455836, 67.681911 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.120003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 82.2, "trend": 64.288113, "fair_value": 48.501236, "relative_strength": 9.434909, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.87695, "energy": 57.858429, "activity_lines": [ 76.703334, 76.684602, 72.596024, 68.675787 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }