{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e8d7ead6-40ba-4682-abc5-124849007af9",
    "symbol": "2633",
    "name": "NEXT FUNDS S&P 500 (Unhedged) Exchange Traded Fund",
    "exchange": "JPX",
    "country": "JP",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^N225",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.353,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.363,
    "architecture_energy": 60.66,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.067,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.132,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.95,
        "rotation_up": 56.67,
        "upward_expansion": 86.27,
        "deceleration": 65.47,
        "rotation_down": 28.2,
        "downward_expansion": 10.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        551.446664,
        539.008239
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 564.299988,
    "trend_reference": 523.857687,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077201,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 410.95275,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.373151,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.086835,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.147986,
    "excess_performance": -0.061272,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077201,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046181,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.373151,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001483,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060868,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061161,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147986,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.199308,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1555420,
      "relative_activity": 2.574167,
      "balance": 3.199308,
      "dry_up": 1.330531,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020148,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11421,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005989,
      "from_low_reference": 0.310223
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 523.857687,
      "fair_value_reference": 410.95275,
      "structural_low": 465.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.017762,
        "positive_rate": 0.741935,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.741935,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003951,
        "regime_survival": 0.870968,
        "best_return": 0.074499,
        "worst_return": -0.114629,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.162841,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.074838,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.088168,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 545899.0,
        "trend": 519.762742,
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        "relative_strength": -5.178093,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.524405,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 554.0,
        "volume": 768860,
        "typical_volume": 550890.5,
        "trend": 521.734737,
        "fair_value": 409.192345,
        "relative_strength": -6.342906,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.879589,
        "energy": 63.350483,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 564.299988,
        "volume": 1555420,
        "typical_volume": 604242.0,
        "trend": 523.857687,
        "fair_value": 410.95275,
        "relative_strength": -6.086835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.363041,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}