{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e8e28ec6-f77a-454b-bcb5-28e35ebfa126",
    "symbol": "XDIV",
    "name": "iShares Core MSCI Canadian Quality Dividend Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.389,
    "architecture_energy": 72.075,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.412,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 74.06,
        "upward_expansion": 89.49,
        "deceleration": 51.05,
        "rotation_down": 15.29,
        "downward_expansion": 13.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.00494,
        45.364776,
        44.146501,
        42.883015
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 45.560001,
    "trend_reference": 41.168039,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.106684,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.020751,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.468694,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.454258,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.223383,
    "excess_performance": 0.102962,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106684,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073727,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.468694,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043337,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054543,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004629,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.223383,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.938761,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 874700,
      "relative_activity": 1.1543,
      "balance": 2.938761,
      "dry_up": 1.280855,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019221,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.090506,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026912,
      "from_low_reference": 0.431647
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.168039,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.020751,
      "structural_low": 37.092728,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.019467,
        "positive_rate": 0.711111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.711111,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005727,
        "regime_survival": 0.844444,
        "best_return": 0.056533,
        "worst_return": -0.051967,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.039792,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021151,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.141746,
        "worst_return": -0.102131,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.097968,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039032,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.184032,
        "worst_return": -0.032938,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.152251,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.071254,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.39039,
        "worst_return": 0.068002,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-03-24",
        "end": "2023-04-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060543,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2023-06-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 39.912732,
        "fair_value": 30.440214,
        "relative_strength": 7.88458,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 73.928715,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1047800,
        "typical_volume": 788200.0,
        "trend": 40.222118,
        "fair_value": 30.58365,
        "relative_strength": 10.573607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.514071,
        "energy": 76.770381,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.871941,
          44.267302,
          42.99437,
          41.795772
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.299816,
        "volume": 1193500,
        "typical_volume": 782325.0,
        "trend": 40.532437,
        "fair_value": 30.72896,
        "relative_strength": 10.673066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.197747,
        "energy": 78.855105,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.472964,
          44.729603,
          43.43181,
          42.187882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 46.619999,
        "volume": 766400,
        "typical_volume": 769000.0,
        "trend": 40.872995,
        "fair_value": 30.87858,
        "relative_strength": 11.632363,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.922693,
        "energy": 90.081996,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.0129,
          45.17506,
          43.859752,
          42.580628
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.560001,
        "volume": 874700,
        "typical_volume": 757775.0,
        "trend": 41.168039,
        "fair_value": 31.020751,
        "relative_strength": 5.454258,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.388949,
        "energy": 72.075339,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.00494,
          45.364776,
          44.146501,
          42.883015
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}