{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e8efe151-4de8-4657-b347-162bf187ef10", "symbol": "WRBY", "name": "Warby Parker Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.255, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.135, "architecture_energy": 17.128, "architecture_maturity": 41.459, "architecture_confidence": 75.096, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.64, "rotation_up": 27.25, "upward_expansion": 55.34, "deceleration": 86.34, "rotation_down": 31.05, "downward_expansion": 19.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.307333, 26.858909, 26.325619, 25.652559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.46, "trend_reference": 25.173667, "distance_from_trend": 0.051098, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.496154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.357191, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.755976, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.036834, "excess_performance": -0.088791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051098, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066184, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.357191, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254261, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.03756, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161295, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.036834, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.370892, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21953365, "relative_activity": 1.524573, "balance": 0.370892, "dry_up": 1.022919, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148359, "annualized_volatility": 0.66922, "from_high_reference": -0.146452, "from_low_reference": 0.768717 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.173667, "fair_value_reference": 19.496154, "structural_low": 19.8, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.07349, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.060282, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.291691, "worst_return": -0.238062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.07972, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.187332, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.587966, "worst_return": -0.389751, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.130894, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.15919, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.33971, "worst_return": -0.142795, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"close": 29.05, "volume": 10212276, "typical_volume": 15158888.75, "trend": 25.086, "fair_value": 19.194808, "relative_strength": 7.417491, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.877554, "energy": 56.58366, "activity_lines": [ 28.559333, 27.312727, 25.950905, 25.419462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.41, "volume": 13453384, "typical_volume": 14316232.9, "trend": 25.086667, "fair_value": 19.272436, "relative_strength": -0.651335, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.660962, "energy": 50.489639, "activity_lines": [ 28.031333, 27.194909, 26.088286, 25.504882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.56, "volume": 14156570, "typical_volume": 14222213.5, "trend": 25.099333, "fair_value": 19.335769, "relative_strength": -6.791406, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.462922, "energy": 22.282806, "activity_lines": [ 26.89, 26.797818, 26.04281, 25.470903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.69, "volume": 9355509, "typical_volume": 14125852.8, "trend": 25.235, "fair_value": 19.411346, "relative_strength": 0.337363, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.223165, "energy": 14.770512, "activity_lines": [ 26.552, 26.863818, 26.201429, 25.573527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.46, "volume": 21953365, "typical_volume": 14399680.2, "trend": 25.173667, "fair_value": 19.496154, "relative_strength": -3.755976, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.134581, "energy": 17.127748, "activity_lines": [ 26.307333, 26.858909, 26.325619, 25.652559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }