{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e923c16f-cb50-4f71-86d6-c36bb4a5a668", "symbol": "300976", "name": "Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.378, "architecture_energy": 27.88, "architecture_maturity": 67.392, "architecture_confidence": 71.62, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.18, "rotation_up": 15.03, "upward_expansion": 47.98, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 50.14, "downward_expansion": 29.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.803334, 62.025455, 61.479601, 57.274896 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 56.619999, "trend_reference": 52.4309, "distance_from_trend": 0.079898, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.862786, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.672042, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.614458, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.305809, "excess_performance": 0.298409, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180882, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.672042, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083306, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.126145, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164117, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.305809, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.737463, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26358502, "relative_activity": 1.306556, "balance": 2.737463, "dry_up": 1.359574, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.227724, "annualized_volatility": 0.818984, "from_high_reference": -0.416289, "from_low_reference": 0.518943 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.4309, "fair_value_reference": 33.862786, "structural_low": 37.27592, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.033703, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.052071, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.085894, "worst_return": -0.112939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.080131, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.085201, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.018301, "worst_return": -0.15321, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.14317, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.060928, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.312659, "worst_return": -0.130295, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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18461149.65, "trend": 51.76768, "fair_value": 33.509301, "relative_strength": 10.605126, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.710408, "energy": 24.558334, "activity_lines": [ 61.383334, 67.714418, 62.175619, 57.214621 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.040001, "volume": 27708473, "typical_volume": 19338894.35, "trend": 51.958056, "fair_value": 33.653432, "relative_strength": 0.917459, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.288143, "energy": 25.113915, "activity_lines": [ 54.983334, 64.010754, 61.435614, 56.974125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.619999, "volume": 26358502, "typical_volume": 20174033.95, "trend": 52.4309, "fair_value": 33.862786, "relative_strength": 12.614458, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.378167, "energy": 27.879525, "activity_lines": [ 53.803334, 62.025455, 61.479601, 57.274896 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }