{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e923ff6d-d0dd-4da1-b16b-ec90a84707eb", "symbol": "BNKE", "name": "Amundi Euro Stoxx Banks UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.492, "architecture_energy": 88.292, "architecture_maturity": 35.265, "architecture_confidence": 85.292, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.54, "rotation_up": 76.57, "upward_expansion": 95.01, "deceleration": 43.81, "rotation_down": 16.15, "downward_expansion": 19.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 389.643337, 381.597241, 363.783217, 350.773957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 402.899994, "trend_reference": 338.338801, "distance_from_trend": 0.190818, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 219.234589, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.837757, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.362659, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.205191, "excess_performance": 0.151879, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.190818, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069796, "read": "Rising" 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277.471985, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": 0.028619, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": 0.021279, "regime_survival": 0.738095, "best_return": 0.134423, "worst_return": -0.261232, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.086585, "positive_rate": 0.8125, "directional_follow_through": 0.8125, "median_excess_return": 0.058231, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.249545, "worst_return": -0.181852, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.161616, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.133465, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.372482, "worst_return": -0.221935, "sufficient": true }, 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"volume": 62333, "typical_volume": 81323.6, "trend": 333.716134, "fair_value": 215.69416, "relative_strength": 18.037265, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.699149, "energy": 87.695533, "activity_lines": [ 377.033339, 369.833187, 352.900764, 342.770447 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 390.700012, "volume": 65180, "typical_volume": 76663.25, "trend": 335.829468, "fair_value": 217.422923, "relative_strength": 18.163923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.963499, "energy": 83.127562, "activity_lines": [ 382.133341, 375.114061, 357.988994, 346.446826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 402.899994, "volume": 66096, "typical_volume": 72291.6, "trend": 338.338801, "fair_value": 219.234589, "relative_strength": 18.362659, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.491891, "energy": 88.292434, "activity_lines": [ 389.643337, 381.597241, 363.783217, 350.773957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }