{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e92f8bbe-0245-4de1-a36d-1a4306c6b65e", "symbol": "VIA", "name": "Viatris Inc.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.478, "architecture_energy": 60.061, "architecture_maturity": 36.324, "architecture_confidence": 87.433, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.8, "rotation_up": 61.89, "upward_expansion": 84.3, "deceleration": 51.86, "rotation_down": 18.85, "downward_expansion": 10.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.872, 14.652509, 14.214771, 13.708763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.406, "trend_reference": 13.048395, "distance_from_trend": 0.104044, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.743618, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.478506, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.012889, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.203225, "excess_performance": 0.138585, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104044, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143686, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.478506, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063456, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.180129, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.285597, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.203225, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.538851, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8181, "relative_activity": 0.803248, "balance": 0.538851, "dry_up": 1.150576, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056633, "annualized_volatility": 0.310019, "from_high_reference": -0.091563, "from_low_reference": 0.852736 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.048395, "fair_value_reference": 9.743618, "structural_low": 11.074855, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.020887, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.005765, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.192273, "worst_return": -0.309942, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.013081, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.082137, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.210572, "worst_return": -0.222717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.081062, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.06413, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.381654, "worst_return": -0.315365, "sufficient": true }, { 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14.5476, 14.299094, 13.755192, 13.28851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.142, "volume": 15727, "typical_volume": 10533.35, "trend": 12.759848, "fair_value": 9.664265, "relative_strength": 32.899705, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.045843, "energy": 69.181046, "activity_lines": [ 14.826667, 14.473345, 13.943853, 13.453341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.236, "volume": 6335, "typical_volume": 10172.45, "trend": 12.923109, "fair_value": 9.708766, "relative_strength": 29.401071, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.763205, "energy": 65.971435, "activity_lines": [ 15.018133, 14.647236, 14.126701, 13.613092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.406, "volume": 8181, "typical_volume": 10184.9, "trend": 13.048395, "fair_value": 9.743618, "relative_strength": 18.012889, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.47809, "energy": 60.060903, "activity_lines": [ 14.872, 14.652509, 14.214771, 13.708763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }