{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e93ac360-4807-40e3-93b3-38c9a94d1b33", "symbol": "BFSAN", "name": "Befesa S.A.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.228, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.007, "architecture_energy": 21.143, "architecture_maturity": 38.364, "architecture_confidence": 68.062, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.17, "rotation_up": 47.02, "upward_expansion": 32.62, "deceleration": 53.31, "rotation_down": 24.99, "downward_expansion": 31.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 653.94602, 643.146453, 662.34891, 661.542617 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 689.530029, "trend_reference": 653.858818, "distance_from_trend": 0.054555, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 573.360051, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202613, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.146825, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.150674, "excess_performance": 0.205341, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054555, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026531, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.202613, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039111, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.061468, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01723, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.150674, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.053341, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027855, "annualized_volatility": 0.428071, "from_high_reference": -0.041201, "from_low_reference": 0.194633 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 653.858818, "fair_value_reference": 573.360051, "structural_low": 599.23999, "invalidation": "A 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"trend": 647.795149, "fair_value": 572.880775, "relative_strength": -7.217947, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.61547, "energy": 80.603703, "activity_lines": [ 608.476005, 642.302074, 663.732111, 659.404147 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 600.570007, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 73.25, "trend": 647.839482, "fair_value": 572.660363, "relative_strength": -6.678355, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.992203, "energy": 75.48851, "activity_lines": [ 600.570007, 630.256303, 657.558328, 656.357363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 689.530029, "volume": 391, "typical_volume": 92.8, "trend": 650.84915, "fair_value": 573.010207, "relative_strength": 6.225514, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.560465, "energy": 35.701678, "activity_lines": [ 630.223348, 636.46843, 660.062595, 659.047076 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 689.530029, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 92.8, "trend": 653.858818, "fair_value": 573.360051, "relative_strength": 6.146825, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.007194, "energy": 21.143448, "activity_lines": [ 653.94602, 643.146453, 662.34891, 661.542617 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }