{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e941c232-268a-4173-914e-f0155d6bbafe", "symbol": "002035", "name": "Vatti Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.964, "architecture_energy": 46.589, "architecture_maturity": 92.706, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.22, "rotation_up": 27.73, "upward_expansion": 20.71, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 41.93, "downward_expansion": 70.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.754667, 4.723267, 4.968118, 5.264286 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.79, "trend_reference": 5.610998, "distance_from_trend": -0.146319, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.063678, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.21005, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.645602, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.227218, "excess_performance": -0.234618, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146319, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078329, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.21005, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144685, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216456, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034975, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.227218, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.374223, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42066023, "relative_activity": 0.618042, "balance": 0.374223, "dry_up": 0.717869, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060339, "annualized_volatility": 0.273277, "from_high_reference": -0.309798, "from_low_reference": 0.076404 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.610998, "fair_value_reference": 6.063678, "structural_low": 4.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.008771, "positive_rate": 0.653846, "directional_follow_through": 0.346154, "median_excess_return": 0.016248, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.195364, "worst_return": -0.093694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.033675, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.020018, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.319536, "worst_return": -0.127592, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.000781, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.02327, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.243377, "worst_return": -0.268852, "sufficient": true }, { 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-67.450793, "energy": 83.070191, "activity_lines": [ 4.68, 4.765758, 5.172957, 5.449836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.58, "volume": 50295538, "typical_volume": 67603510.6, "trend": 5.695348, "fair_value": 6.076662, "relative_strength": -23.757132, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.149927, "energy": 66.333591, "activity_lines": [ 4.652667, 4.709173, 5.082265, 5.37461 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.85, "volume": 45538360, "typical_volume": 67850725.75, "trend": 5.654665, "fair_value": 6.070247, "relative_strength": -17.280526, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.040405, "energy": 55.443463, "activity_lines": [ 4.726667, 4.71724, 5.024668, 5.320071 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.79, "volume": 42066023, "typical_volume": 68063359.3, "trend": 5.610998, "fair_value": 6.063678, "relative_strength": -21.645602, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.964208, "energy": 46.589243, "activity_lines": [ 4.754667, 4.723267, 4.968118, 5.264286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }