{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e942d11f-7da1-4851-b4f4-35ae829c8fb4", "symbol": "AVNM", "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS TOTAL INTL MKTS EQTY ETF USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 82.714, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.895, "architecture_energy": 33.48, "architecture_maturity": 13.512, "architecture_confidence": 66.532, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.93, "rotation_up": 43.88, "upward_expansion": 74.09, "deceleration": 63.93, "rotation_down": 24.15, "downward_expansion": 3.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.747333, 82.474204, 82.168011, 81.230702 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 84.88, "trend_reference": 80.111907, "distance_from_trend": 0.059518, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 60.738412, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.397468, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.163872, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.073795, "excess_performance": -0.05183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059518, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04761, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.397468, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029212, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.001639, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043832, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.073795, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.97478, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 499596, "relative_activity": 1.752997, "balance": 1.97478, "dry_up": 1.173221, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031564, "annualized_volatility": 0.194173, "from_high_reference": -0.007019, "from_low_reference": 0.300536 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.111907, "fair_value_reference": 60.738412, "structural_low": 72.795495, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.063615, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.019908, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.080263, "worst_return": 0.046967, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.076009, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.133824, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.076009, "worst_return": 0.076009, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.201346, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.134399, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.201346, "worst_return": 0.201346, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"typical_volume": 284995.35, "trend": 80.111907, "fair_value": 60.738412, "relative_strength": 0.163872, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.895278, "energy": 33.479799, "activity_lines": [ 82.747333, 82.474204, 82.168011, 81.230702 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }