{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e9453e14-421f-4bb5-baad-ac3053527290", "symbol": "LYFT", "name": "LYFT Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 70.595, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 52.227, "architecture_energy": 55.881, "architecture_maturity": 17.553, "architecture_confidence": 51.369, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.19, "rotation_up": 67.91, "upward_expansion": 60.39, "deceleration": 22.9, "rotation_down": 21.81, "downward_expansion": 21.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.999333, 15.468, 14.835714, 14.564817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17.46, "trend_reference": 14.618, "distance_from_trend": 0.194418, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.783462, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.18105, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.059392, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.060753, "excess_performance": -0.1267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.194418, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116203, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.18105, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185891, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.100594, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.195427, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060753, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.052836, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68305460, "relative_activity": 1.046355, "balance": 1.052836, "dry_up": 0.940382, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081957, "annualized_volatility": 0.50451, "from_high_reference": -0.316366, "from_low_reference": 0.401284 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.618, "fair_value_reference": 14.783462, "structural_low": 12.46, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.085377, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.128916, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.039923, "worst_return": -0.417722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.230525, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.297535, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.194595, "worst_return": -0.503452, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.05578, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000927, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.323724, "worst_return": -0.375719, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.034224, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.166974, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.127327, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051527, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.380081, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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15.264667, 14.720364, 14.338048, 14.368258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.2, "volume": 75358516, "typical_volume": 70678615.2, "trend": 14.807333, "fair_value": 14.712372, "relative_strength": -22.754628, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.919838, "energy": 31.39669, "activity_lines": [ 14.994667, 14.698182, 14.35519, 14.317312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.86, "volume": 55460428, "typical_volume": 69349094.9, "trend": 14.676333, "fair_value": 14.744487, "relative_strength": -14.095936, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.521599, "energy": 41.409691, "activity_lines": [ 15.283333, 14.955455, 14.525905, 14.385226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.46, "volume": 68305460, "typical_volume": 65279450.9, "trend": 14.618, "fair_value": 14.783462, "relative_strength": -10.059392, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.226974, "energy": 55.880876, "activity_lines": [ 15.999333, 15.468, 14.835714, 14.564817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }