{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e94b07df-03c3-4b0c-8b85-bc810d75cb86", "symbol": "6462", "name": "Egis Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.984, "architecture_energy": 59.303, "architecture_maturity": 13.443, "architecture_confidence": 88.396, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.36, "rotation_up": 11.48, "upward_expansion": 12.71, "deceleration": 38.65, "rotation_down": 65.28, "downward_expansion": 86.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.679999, 102.921817, 110.529523, 111.826236 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 99.5, "trend_reference": 112.816666, "distance_from_trend": -0.118038, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 153.842777, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.353236, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.058564, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.074419, "excess_performance": -0.515791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.118038, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052094, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.353236, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232143, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.410586, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155088, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.074419, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.978417, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2524001, "relative_activity": 0.25982, "balance": 0.978417, "dry_up": 0.295073, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1431, "annualized_volatility": 0.496853, "from_high_reference": -0.380062, "from_low_reference": 0.130682 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 112.816666, "fair_value_reference": 153.842777, "structural_low": 88.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.008584, "positive_rate": 0.484848, "directional_follow_through": 0.515152, "median_excess_return": -0.024805, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.289941, "worst_return": -0.26837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.042735, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.088101, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 2.301775, "worst_return": -0.361823, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.106838, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.137436, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.822485, "worst_return": -0.464115, 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117.482796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 110.5, "volume": 2861254, "typical_volume": 10238078.85, "trend": 116.7, "fair_value": 154.027337, "relative_strength": -39.221571, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.879874, "energy": 14.51055, "activity_lines": [ 114.033333, 117.518182, 118.397619, 117.034409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.199997, "volume": 4317877, "typical_volume": 10102442.45, "trend": 115.756667, "fair_value": 153.963303, "relative_strength": -41.09142, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.307495, "energy": 30.158268, "activity_lines": [ 109.166666, 113.463636, 116.757143, 115.905376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.0, "volume": 3239085, "typical_volume": 9979402.85, "trend": 114.973333, "fair_value": 153.920341, "relative_strength": -39.880468, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.242569, "energy": 37.914133, "activity_lines": [ 105.986666, 110.414545, 115.482381, 115.017849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 93.699997, "volume": 3532969, "typical_volume": 9963373.0, "trend": 113.98, "fair_value": 153.867136, "relative_strength": -43.047151, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.822488, "energy": 65.159387, "activity_lines": [ 100.839998, 106.438181, 113.433809, 113.645376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.599998, "volume": 2169798, "typical_volume": 9789488.15, "trend": 113.316666, "fair_value": 153.845341, "relative_strength": -39.958573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.452221, "energy": 63.128239, "activity_lines": [ 99.179998, 104.458181, 111.981904, 112.717634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 99.5, "volume": 2524001, "typical_volume": 9714434.75, "trend": 112.816666, "fair_value": 153.842777, "relative_strength": -41.058564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.984118, "energy": 59.303255, "activity_lines": [ 98.679999, 102.921817, 110.529523, 111.826236 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }