{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e95f4998-263d-4eed-85d0-bfa6fe6357bf", "symbol": "AINO", "name": "Aino Health AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.939, "architecture_energy": 86.156, "architecture_maturity": 31.788, "architecture_confidence": 74.815, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.6, "rotation_up": 82.69, "upward_expansion": 99.38, "deceleration": 39.01, "rotation_down": 8.32, "downward_expansion": 21.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1958, 0.182182, 0.163924, 0.158839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.196, "trend_reference": 0.157133, "distance_from_trend": 0.247348, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.235677, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.168355, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.629255, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.139535, "excess_performance": 0.078041, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.247348, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03461, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.168355, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.315442, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.016293, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.314437, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139535, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.165793, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 166407, "relative_activity": 1.075881, "balance": 8.165793, "dry_up": 0.496541, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089874, "annualized_volatility": 0.890804, "from_high_reference": -0.319444, "from_low_reference": 0.689655 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.157133, "fair_value_reference": 0.235677, "structural_low": 0.116, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.041885, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.041919, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.041885, "worst_return": 0.041885, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-16", "end": "2024-05-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.324943, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.44, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.069231, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.075397, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", 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"fair_value": 0.239909, "relative_strength": 1.061555, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.437804, "energy": 65.204223, "activity_lines": [ 0.1796, 0.1602, 0.150324, 0.15109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.193, "volume": 2615, "typical_volume": 170982.0, "trend": 0.156067, "fair_value": 0.237923, "relative_strength": -1.088732, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.693341, "energy": 74.315492, "activity_lines": [ 0.188733, 0.167836, 0.154695, 0.15351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.199, "volume": 49237, "typical_volume": 170255.7, "trend": 0.156333, "fair_value": 0.236921, "relative_strength": 1.316669, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.475393, "energy": 78.119759, "activity_lines": [ 0.195133, 0.175691, 0.159567, 0.15628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.196, "volume": 166407, "typical_volume": 154670.4, "trend": 0.157133, "fair_value": 0.235677, "relative_strength": -1.629255, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.938782, "energy": 86.156174, "activity_lines": [ 0.1958, 0.182182, 0.163924, 0.158839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }