{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e980a194-f7ac-4994-8325-ae3252768162", "symbol": "UCIB", "name": "UBS AG London Branch", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.621, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.683, "architecture_energy": 36.454, "architecture_maturity": 8.049, "architecture_confidence": 81.142, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.92, "rotation_up": 55.87, "upward_expansion": 78.65, "deceleration": 51.65, "rotation_down": 16.62, "downward_expansion": 7.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.90852, 34.244998, 34.186839, 33.75368 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.29, "trend_reference": 32.809067, "distance_from_trend": 0.075617, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.260581, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.294543, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.419566, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.199606, "excess_performance": 0.073981, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075617, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066879, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.294543, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074296, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.034196, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091435, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.199606, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.119541, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 488, "relative_activity": 0.037523, "balance": 0.119541, "dry_up": 3.316834, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089917, "annualized_volatility": 0.217919, "from_high_reference": -0.119731, "from_low_reference": 0.416132 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.809067, "fair_value_reference": 27.260581, "structural_low": 28.74, "invalidation": 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.817995, "energy": 10.386897, "activity_lines": [ 33.082193, 33.510827, 33.730362, 33.065154 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.27, "volume": 3958, "typical_volume": 5154.55, "trend": 32.115947, "fair_value": 27.067722, "relative_strength": 5.066666, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.489382, "energy": 9.57818, "activity_lines": [ 33.467453, 33.550378, 33.809049, 33.218667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.33, "volume": 1255, "typical_volume": 5106.75, "trend": 32.35678, "fair_value": 27.132594, "relative_strength": 8.703921, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.05918, "energy": 19.573899, "activity_lines": [ 34.166113, 33.817111, 33.969684, 33.426026 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.7301, "volume": 166844, "typical_volume": 13411.5, "trend": 32.584683, "fair_value": 27.194421, "relative_strength": 5.528473, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.921592, "energy": 23.310272, "activity_lines": [ 34.518873, 33.977315, 34.056328, 33.579143 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.29, "volume": 488, "typical_volume": 13005.25, "trend": 32.809067, "fair_value": 27.260581, "relative_strength": 3.419566, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.682556, "energy": 36.453914, "activity_lines": [ 34.90852, 34.244998, 34.186839, 33.75368 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }