{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e987b01a-9702-4a88-aad5-aca95c2927f3", "symbol": "ASI", "name": "Amundi MSCI China ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 76.736, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 34.815, "architecture_energy": 38.699, "architecture_maturity": 90.415, "architecture_confidence": 72.429, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.72, "rotation_up": 67.24, "upward_expansion": 37.2, "deceleration": 43.49, "rotation_down": 16.72, "downward_expansion": 23.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.148667, 101.556491, 101.312453, 101.972452 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 106.650002, "trend_reference": 103.7407, "distance_from_trend": 0.028044, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 92.486603, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.15314, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.227515, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.032986, "excess_performance": -0.086298, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028044, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036233, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.15314, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005575, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.072275, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036431, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032986, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.478424, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2407, "relative_activity": 0.194651, "balance": 0.478424, "dry_up": 0.596143, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030839, "annualized_volatility": 0.182083, "from_high_reference": -0.123478, "from_low_reference": 0.153472 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.7407, "fair_value_reference": 92.486603, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.027018, "energy": 46.948377, "activity_lines": [ 98.405334, 98.768928, 100.361267, 101.879516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 101.709999, "volume": 3927, "typical_volume": 14560.6, "trend": 104.1664, "fair_value": 92.236341, "relative_strength": -8.179687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.696733, "energy": 22.82469, "activity_lines": [ 99.760667, 99.1708, 100.39471, 101.705179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105.599998, "volume": 2609, "typical_volume": 13709.85, "trend": 103.940867, "fair_value": 92.343366, "relative_strength": -6.071808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.084846, "energy": 19.074039, "activity_lines": [ 102.162666, 100.309782, 100.8031, 101.797669 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 106.650002, "volume": 2407, "typical_volume": 12365.75, "trend": 103.7407, "fair_value": 92.486603, "relative_strength": -7.227515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.815082, "energy": 38.69938, "activity_lines": [ 104.148667, 101.556491, 101.312453, 101.972452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }