{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e99945a0-e0d1-4aa1-b9a0-463de66fd700",
    "symbol": "MEAB-B",
    "name": "Malmbergs Elektriska AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.719,
    "architecture_energy": 41.313,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.367,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.71,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.47,
        "rotation_up": 52.63,
        "upward_expansion": 78.18,
        "deceleration": 53.42,
        "rotation_down": 20.83,
        "downward_expansion": 11.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.673333,
        36.792727,
        36.386361,
        35.761378
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 39.0,
    "trend_reference": 34.912137,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.11709,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.094928,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.002428,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.598193,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.18162,
    "excess_performance": 0.120125,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11709,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063762,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002428,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088109,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025982,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09474,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18162,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.333707,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20735,
      "relative_activity": 1.418927,
      "balance": 2.333707,
      "dry_up": 1.607542,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086588,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.364983,
      "from_high_reference": -0.150327,
      "from_low_reference": 0.456615
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.912137,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.094928,
      "structural_low": 30.571503,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.006623,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0035,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.054054,
        "worst_return": -0.064445,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.018993,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031261,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.006173,
        "worst_return": -0.030516,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.031027,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057677,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.018072,
        "worst_return": -0.043982,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.172178,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092403,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.009259,
        "worst_return": -0.335098,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-05-31",
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        "return": 0.119048,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.025463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
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        "return": -0.021327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.05539,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "trend": 32.086041,
        "fair_value": 40.063686,
        "relative_strength": -10.644737,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.356572,
        "energy": 58.02711,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.935725,
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          33.461515,
          32.742611
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 36.099998,
        "volume": 16300,
        "typical_volume": 20041.95,
        "trend": 32.202172,
        "fair_value": 39.983272,
        "relative_strength": -7.751028,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 56.1163,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.450061,
          34.557845,
          33.80042,
          33.001576
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 36.299999,
        "volume": 13683,
        "typical_volume": 19853.6,
        "trend": 32.311987,
        "fair_value": 39.913662,
        "relative_strength": -6.875806,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.84932,
        "energy": 53.88894,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 35.700001,
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        "typical_volume": 20213.9,
        "trend": 32.421275,
        "fair_value": 39.834255,
        "relative_strength": -6.664347,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.301415,
        "energy": 40.463324,
        "activity_lines": [
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          34.350045,
          33.484533
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 2149,
        "typical_volume": 19642.05,
        "trend": 32.589067,
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        "relative_strength": -8.900531,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.828157,
        "energy": 36.457278,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.906666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.900002,
        "volume": 8281,
        "typical_volume": 18797.25,
        "trend": 32.819489,
        "fair_value": 39.729595,
        "relative_strength": -5.128446,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.50604,
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        "activity_lines": [
          36.233334,
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          34.825909,
          33.98064
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 16640.35,
        "trend": 32.987721,
        "fair_value": 39.644513,
        "relative_strength": -5.327658,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.472757,
        "energy": 34.683744,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.28,
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          34.205189
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 36.400002,
        "volume": 11080,
        "typical_volume": 16534.35,
        "trend": 33.18525,
        "fair_value": 39.570783,
        "relative_strength": -4.259904,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.631421,
        "energy": 32.887496,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 24411,
        "typical_volume": 17252.45,
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        "fair_value": 39.526077,
        "relative_strength": -2.887276,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.191768,
        "energy": 36.100484,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 35.299999,
        "volume": 916,
        "typical_volume": 16058.6,
        "trend": 33.560747,
        "fair_value": 39.458983,
        "relative_strength": -6.911383,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.500676,
        "energy": 27.883072,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.320001,
          36.270909,
          35.569107,
          34.818797
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.5,
        "volume": 3054,
        "typical_volume": 15714.85,
        "trend": 33.71766,
        "fair_value": 39.371883,
        "relative_strength": -10.862447,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.272351,
        "energy": 16.365555,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.666667,
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          35.538468,
          34.879394
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.0,
        "volume": 9362,
        "typical_volume": 14933.1,
        "trend": 33.987115,
        "fair_value": 39.306761,
        "relative_strength": -1.556601,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.87468,
        "energy": 20.996694,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.006667,
          36.132728,
          35.733245,
          35.091158
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.099998,
        "volume": 10005,
        "typical_volume": 14482.6,
        "trend": 34.165514,
        "fair_value": 39.227349,
        "relative_strength": -10.216824,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.851662,
        "energy": 11.32657,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.999999,
          35.576364,
          35.546845,
          35.033924
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.5,
        "volume": 22053,
        "typical_volume": 14833.05,
        "trend": 34.417423,
        "fair_value": 39.168678,
        "relative_strength": -4.590257,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.16503,
        "energy": 11.817607,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.013333,
          35.514545,
          35.587175,
          35.12002
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.099998,
        "volume": 41172,
        "typical_volume": 14142.35,
        "trend": 34.74153,
        "fair_value": 39.135328,
        "relative_strength": 6.872479,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.222311,
        "energy": 31.005617,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.686666,
          36.292727,
          36.056968,
          35.486638
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.0,
        "volume": 20735,
        "typical_volume": 14613.15,
        "trend": 34.912137,
        "fair_value": 39.094928,
        "relative_strength": 2.598193,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.718915,
        "energy": 41.31254,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.673333,
          36.792727,
          36.386361,
          35.761378
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}