{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e9a58e63-8576-424b-9ca8-63c795af369c", "symbol": "SSAC", "name": "iShares MSCI ACWI UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.894, "architecture_energy": 69.56, "architecture_maturity": 79.8, "architecture_confidence": 80.371, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 58.99, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.36, "rotation_down": 27.89, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.532001, 97.965455, 96.206286, 93.970387 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 100.68, "trend_reference": 91.397333, "distance_from_trend": 0.101564, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 78.193526, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.287575, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.78629, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.16138, "excess_performance": 0.078496, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101564, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043563, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.287575, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05772, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027863, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039158, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.16138, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.424462, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 242822, "relative_activity": 4.709887, "balance": 4.424462, "dry_up": 1.911691, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019605, "annualized_volatility": 0.113765, "from_high_reference": -0.002773, "from_low_reference": 0.247893 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.397333, "fair_value_reference": 78.193526, "structural_low": 81.709999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.009867, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": 0.001093, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.061071, "worst_return": -0.110799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.014643, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.003392, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.110902, "worst_return": -0.164109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.035533, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.002214, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.175373, "worst_return": -0.194216, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 66.666266, "activity_lines": [ 97.572001, 97.175455, 95.016572, 92.924538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 97.190002, "volume": 57941, "typical_volume": 41024.25, "trend": 91.005, "fair_value": 77.94609, "relative_strength": 0.627409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.546876, "energy": 60.490195, "activity_lines": [ 97.490668, 97.279092, 95.474572, 93.346194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 100.68, "volume": 242822, "typical_volume": 51555.8, "trend": 91.397333, "fair_value": 78.193526, "relative_strength": 2.78629, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.894136, "energy": 69.559594, "activity_lines": [ 98.532001, 97.965455, 96.206286, 93.970387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }