{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e9c225f9-bdc5-4361-9c5f-fe3544e7b028",
    "symbol": "SHLD",
    "name": "iShares Digital Security UCITS ETF USD Dist",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.544,
    "architecture_energy": 65.176,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.166,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.802,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.09,
        "rotation_up": 67.41,
        "upward_expansion": 85.77,
        "deceleration": 52.87,
        "rotation_down": 21.0,
        "downward_expansion": 10.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        12.712982,
        12.295218
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 13.8,
    "trend_reference": 11.784357,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.171044,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.924476,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.390502,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.601301,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.317045,
    "excess_performance": 0.26581,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171044,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054272,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.390502,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104943,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106013,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060275,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.317045,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.089012,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.714725,
      "balance": 2.089012,
      "dry_up": 1.038642,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038783,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.203255,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01919,
      "from_low_reference": 0.351087
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 9.924476,
      "structural_low": 10.214,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.013773,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00518,
        "regime_survival": 0.69697,
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        "worst_return": -0.155758,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.14921,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "volume": 35181,
        "typical_volume": 70582.45,
        "trend": 11.016703,
        "fair_value": 9.408884,
        "relative_strength": -1.881809,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.801108,
        "energy": 29.496777,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.278827,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 11.820001,
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        "typical_volume": 82302.35,
        "trend": 11.027635,
        "fair_value": 9.441383,
        "relative_strength": 0.214791,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.314459,
        "energy": 56.415891,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 102019,
        "typical_volume": 87196.95,
        "trend": 11.057131,
        "fair_value": 9.475493,
        "relative_strength": 4.573787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.34585,
        "energy": 80.226855,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 29332,
        "typical_volume": 87547.35,
        "trend": 11.091784,
        "fair_value": 9.50832,
        "relative_strength": 5.019944,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 73.945954,
        "energy": 81.351811,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 88555.8,
        "trend": 11.130761,
        "fair_value": 9.543735,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.724194,
        "energy": 88.554158,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.920858,
        "volume": 57650,
        "typical_volume": 90676.4,
        "trend": 11.177723,
        "fair_value": 9.579131,
        "relative_strength": 8.886158,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 91.577145,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 90016.75,
        "trend": 11.237993,
        "fair_value": 9.615003,
        "relative_strength": 9.459689,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 89.95273,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.573534,
        "volume": 3605,
        "typical_volume": 86809.35,
        "trend": 11.28419,
        "fair_value": 9.647095,
        "relative_strength": 5.242237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.147476,
        "energy": 82.591336,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 12.274,
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        "trend": 11.343758,
        "fair_value": 9.679453,
        "relative_strength": 3.819388,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 64.072031,
        "energy": 58.195551,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 12.283,
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        "typical_volume": 75877.1,
        "trend": 11.388722,
        "fair_value": 9.710282,
        "relative_strength": 2.55663,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.72087,
        "energy": 45.829976,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.469738,
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          11.997688,
          11.69065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 12.916,
        "volume": 34436,
        "typical_volume": 72754.95,
        "trend": 11.452023,
        "fair_value": 9.745922,
        "relative_strength": 6.151985,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.741237,
        "energy": 46.9328,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.575192,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.209,
        "volume": 22389,
        "typical_volume": 72525.7,
        "trend": 11.52039,
        "fair_value": 9.781713,
        "relative_strength": 10.282822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.095845,
        "energy": 57.129563,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.778636,
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          12.271133,
          11.902538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.96,
        "volume": 96803,
        "typical_volume": 76458.45,
        "trend": 11.580557,
        "fair_value": 9.816042,
        "relative_strength": 7.092459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.225461,
        "energy": 63.581761,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.8816,
          12.773747,
          12.381673,
          11.995416
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.766,
        "volume": 80947,
        "typical_volume": 77843.95,
        "trend": 11.631523,
        "fair_value": 9.848984,
        "relative_strength": 4.152124,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.121289,
        "energy": 63.22104,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.894133,
          12.785226,
          12.462727,
          12.071896
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.99,
        "volume": 96937,
        "typical_volume": 78186.45,
        "trend": 11.69699,
        "fair_value": 9.883733,
        "relative_strength": 4.616844,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.680119,
        "energy": 59.941633,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.948533,
          12.826892,
          12.555071,
          12.15954
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.8,
        "volume": 57074,
        "typical_volume": 79854.5,
        "trend": 11.784357,
        "fair_value": 9.924476,
        "relative_strength": 10.601301,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.544055,
        "energy": 65.175829,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.2258,
          13.011634,
          12.712982,
          12.295218
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}