{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e9c318ec-d28c-4d61-9836-450f75d7a575", "symbol": "BDA", "name": "PNE Industries Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.569, "architecture_energy": 87.175, "architecture_maturity": 16.385, "architecture_confidence": 73.451, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.59, "rotation_up": 8.23, "upward_expansion": 18.94, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 86.22, "downward_expansion": 96.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.394333, 0.408818, 0.418773, 0.424691 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.38, "trend_reference": 0.43669, "distance_from_trend": -0.129818, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.452473, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16017, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.905241, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.190697, "excess_performance": -0.345532, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.129818, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032699, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16017, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047784, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.279052, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12222, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190697, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.056226, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 264500, "relative_activity": 3.686411, "balance": 1.056226, "dry_up": 1.394425, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04849, "annualized_volatility": 0.278632, "from_high_reference": -0.285231, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.43669, "fair_value_reference": 0.452473, "structural_low": 0.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.482759, "directional_follow_through": 0.448276, "median_excess_return": -3.7e-05, "regime_survival": 0.689655, "best_return": 0.123287, "worst_return": -0.155843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.002836, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026331, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.114059, "worst_return": -0.165469, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.024103, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.106122, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.054348, "worst_return": -0.251799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.299994, "energy": 38.955284, "activity_lines": [ 0.424, 0.429909, 0.429305, 0.43524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.395, "volume": 10200, "typical_volume": 54805.0, "trend": 0.444717, "fair_value": 0.454966, "relative_strength": -24.768584, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.731304, "energy": 71.104715, "activity_lines": [ 0.412333, 0.423182, 0.426064, 0.431861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.395, "volume": 102500, "typical_volume": 59485.0, "trend": 0.441429, "fair_value": 0.453577, "relative_strength": -24.731648, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.367794, "energy": 78.565789, "activity_lines": [ 0.404, 0.417091, 0.423061, 0.428654 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.38, "volume": 264500, "typical_volume": 71750.0, "trend": 0.43669, "fair_value": 0.452473, "relative_strength": -27.905241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.569119, "energy": 87.175133, "activity_lines": [ 0.394333, 0.408818, 0.418773, 0.424691 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }