{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e9c640c0-f18a-4915-8124-87c78ea0e041",
    "symbol": "VFH",
    "name": "VANGUARD WORLD FUND VANGUARD FINANCIALS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 72.797,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.444,
    "architecture_energy": 89.796,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.575,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.681,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.17,
        "rotation_up": 83.18,
        "upward_expansion": 99.38,
        "deceleration": 39.28,
        "rotation_down": 10.43,
        "downward_expansion": 21.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        139.145333,
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        132.973145,
        130.556338
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 140.9,
    "trend_reference": 128.712233,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.09469,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 111.906353,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259088,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.796742,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.062495,
    "excess_performance": -0.06313,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09469,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010171,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.259088,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091197,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027967,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095038,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062495,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.317065,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1829638,
      "relative_activity": 0.62856,
      "balance": 4.317065,
      "dry_up": 0.827988,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025183,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.151538,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014754,
      "from_low_reference": 0.20768
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 128.712233,
      "fair_value_reference": 111.906353,
      "structural_low": 116.67,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.007886,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003189,
        "regime_survival": 0.766667,
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        "worst_return": -0.15855,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.053402,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 110.422601,
        "relative_strength": -4.255793,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.736892,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 137.94,
        "volume": 3946780,
        "typical_volume": 3334427.1,
        "trend": 128.266101,
        "fair_value": 110.784789,
        "relative_strength": -1.500861,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.959273,
        "energy": 90.046736,
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          135.836927,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 137.81,
        "volume": 2064666,
        "typical_volume": 3216703.6,
        "trend": 128.350302,
        "fair_value": 111.145534,
        "relative_strength": -0.831481,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.206864,
        "energy": 89.757295,
        "activity_lines": [
          136.932,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 139.23,
        "volume": 1799471,
        "typical_volume": 3011930.3,
        "trend": 128.539986,
        "fair_value": 111.519525,
        "relative_strength": -0.744111,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.326146,
        "energy": 89.871629,
        "activity_lines": [
          138.019333,
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          129.758917
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 140.9,
        "volume": 1829638,
        "typical_volume": 2910839.3,
        "trend": 128.712233,
        "fair_value": 111.906353,
        "relative_strength": -2.796742,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.444065,
        "energy": 89.796065,
        "activity_lines": [
          139.145333,
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          130.556338
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}