{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e9d804f2-78dd-4947-b0ed-9f6fa5d1be63", "symbol": "DRMA", "name": "Dermata Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.302, "architecture_energy": 30.927, "architecture_maturity": 26.941, "architecture_confidence": 91.781, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.4, "rotation_up": 21.79, "upward_expansion": 6.59, "deceleration": 44.12, "rotation_down": 48.75, "downward_expansion": 70.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.209333, 1.242727, 1.248905, 1.272559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.1, "trend_reference": 1.378, "distance_from_trend": -0.201742, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.406497, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.964975, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -61.448905, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.398907, "excess_performance": -0.586361, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201742, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240909, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.964975, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010597, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.614489, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121956, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.398907, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.700401, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 484511, "relative_activity": 0.896202, "balance": 0.700401, "dry_up": 0.559248, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162615, "annualized_volatility": 0.781176, "from_high_reference": -0.8327, "from_low_reference": 0.156799 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.378, "fair_value_reference": 31.406497, "structural_low": 0.9509, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.179104, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.175686, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.179104, "worst_return": -0.179104, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"fair_value": 34.931561, "relative_strength": -57.750197, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.034554, "energy": 13.370962, "activity_lines": [ 1.318667, 1.279273, 1.269857, 1.319484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.32, "volume": 189427, "typical_volume": 2657778.4, "trend": 1.444333, "fair_value": 33.641946, "relative_strength": -55.405922, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.656434, "energy": 13.579946, "activity_lines": [ 1.327333, 1.290545, 1.27481, 1.310301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.17, "volume": 314431, "typical_volume": 2643734.2, "trend": 1.410667, "fair_value": 32.485984, "relative_strength": -58.863086, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.39202, "energy": 12.182691, "activity_lines": [ 1.276, 1.272182, 1.265143, 1.292602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.1, "volume": 484511, "typical_volume": 540626.95, "trend": 1.378, "fair_value": 31.406497, "relative_strength": -61.448905, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.301517, "energy": 30.926538, "activity_lines": [ 1.209333, 1.242727, 1.248905, 1.272559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }