{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e9dde44d-7acb-4928-97e1-dbbf4ef636cc",
    "symbol": "CSINDU",
    "name": "iShares VII PLC - iShares Dow Jones Industrial Average UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.861,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.118,
    "architecture_energy": 69.433,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.207,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.5,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.17,
        "rotation_up": 60.74,
        "upward_expansion": 85.13,
        "deceleration": 67.59,
        "rotation_down": 26.26,
        "downward_expansion": 11.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 656.700012,
    "trend_reference": 605.543331,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084481,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 514.167628,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27721,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.629909,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.088694,
    "excess_performance": 0.00581,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084481,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032112,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27721,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057086,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006299,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032093,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088694,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.818972,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21924,
      "relative_activity": 2.863113,
      "balance": 1.818972,
      "dry_up": 1.289472,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018051,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11996,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015295,
      "from_low_reference": 0.236956
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 514.167628,
      "structural_low": 549.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.011745,
        "positive_rate": 0.65,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.65,
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        "worst_return": -0.071191,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.048808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "relative_strength": 2.631278,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 495.195513,
        "relative_strength": 3.839163,
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        "energy": 52.584232,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 7252.5,
        "trend": 583.386668,
        "fair_value": 496.535898,
        "relative_strength": 2.453978,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.103606,
        "energy": 67.608282,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 615.900024,
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        "typical_volume": 7480.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 619.799988,
        "volume": 39296,
        "typical_volume": 8964.0,
        "trend": 586.703335,
        "fair_value": 499.468911,
        "relative_strength": 2.455806,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 8897.8,
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        "fair_value": 500.937821,
        "relative_strength": 4.388904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 1152,
        "typical_volume": 8811.55,
        "trend": 590.630001,
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        "relative_strength": 1.73611,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 631.099976,
        "volume": 598,
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        "trend": 594.833333,
        "fair_value": 505.30577,
        "relative_strength": -0.828811,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 75.553745,
        "energy": 87.745861,
        "activity_lines": [
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          600.725161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 542,
        "typical_volume": 7015.5,
        "trend": 596.903333,
        "fair_value": 506.872436,
        "relative_strength": -0.856659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 7238.6,
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        "fair_value": 508.383975,
        "relative_strength": 0.185174,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.956651,
        "energy": 89.650143,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 638.5,
        "volume": 9048,
        "typical_volume": 6926.15,
        "trend": 600.489998,
        "fair_value": 509.819872,
        "relative_strength": -0.851199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.656967,
        "energy": 87.902038,
        "activity_lines": [
          637.959994,
          632.538177,
          618.057142,
          609.136343
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 631.599976,
        "volume": 3006,
        "typical_volume": 6687.7,
        "trend": 602.016665,
        "fair_value": 511.200962,
        "relative_strength": -1.767676,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.445087,
        "energy": 82.30043,
        "activity_lines": [
          636.533321,
          633.396355,
          620.767616,
          611.143438
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 634.799988,
        "volume": 5518,
        "typical_volume": 6771.75,
        "trend": 603.636664,
        "fair_value": 512.618269,
        "relative_strength": -1.360786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.319585,
        "energy": 61.947969,
        "activity_lines": [
          635.899988,
          634.310899,
          623.498091,
          613.258491
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 656.700012,
        "volume": 21924,
        "typical_volume": 7657.4,
        "trend": 605.543331,
        "fair_value": 514.167628,
        "relative_strength": 0.629909,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.118013,
        "energy": 69.43335,
        "activity_lines": [
          642.319995,
          638.86363,
          628.000949,
          616.681933
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}