{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ea0b2cab-3df1-477d-bf56-dd613ea188a1", "symbol": "XBBDC", "name": "Banco Bradesco S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.315, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.419, "architecture_energy": 61.721, "architecture_maturity": 5.071, "architecture_confidence": 67.609, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.09, "rotation_up": 70.13, "upward_expansion": 85.69, "deceleration": 46.25, "rotation_down": 9.0, "downward_expansion": 12.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.149543, 3.074158, 3.000592, 2.996298 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.02, "trend_reference": 2.980117, "distance_from_trend": 0.013383, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.470857, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.053225, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.042887, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.03568, "excess_performance": -0.088751, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.013383, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076515, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.053225, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.44555, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000429, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.292552, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.03568, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.452154, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7149, "relative_activity": 0.424067, "balance": 0.452154, "dry_up": 0.171919, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059968, "annualized_volatility": 0.516211, "from_high_reference": -0.165013, "from_low_reference": 1.002494 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.980117, "fair_value_reference": 1.470857, "structural_low": 2.647987, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.023623, "positive_rate": 0.59375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.002808, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.270631, "worst_return": -0.294399, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.009051, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.013758, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.423767, "worst_return": -0.165993, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.068286, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.008666, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.755716, "worst_return": -0.139141, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.02, "volume": 7149, "typical_volume": 16858.2, "trend": 2.980117, "fair_value": 1.470857, "relative_strength": 0.042887, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.419001, "energy": 61.721145, "activity_lines": [ 3.149543, 3.074158, 3.000592, 2.996298 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }