{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ea0fbc58-46e6-4b8e-968c-1219a5dfec38",
    "symbol": "XUS",
    "name": "iShares Core S&P 500 Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.788,
    "architecture_energy": 57.029,
    "architecture_maturity": 83.386,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.763,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.96,
        "rotation_up": 48.92,
        "upward_expansion": 80.53,
        "deceleration": 71.33,
        "rotation_down": 28.89,
        "downward_expansion": 9.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.506001,
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        64.291215,
        62.770415
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 66.830002,
    "trend_reference": 61.049125,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094692,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.010958,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.336307,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.067927,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.143762,
    "excess_performance": 0.023341,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094692,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037564,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.336307,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024281,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000679,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014055,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143762,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.021726,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 310100,
      "relative_activity": 0.690592,
      "balance": 4.021726,
      "dry_up": 0.951819,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02343,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.133531,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01139,
      "from_low_reference": 0.239227
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.049125,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.010958,
      "structural_low": 54.41,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.017741,
        "positive_rate": 0.704545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.704545,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001905,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.063886,
        "worst_return": -0.051056,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.769231,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.769231,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002262,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
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        "worst_return": -0.041666,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.070765,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039828,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.139123,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.060955,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 65.610001,
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        "typical_volume": 507480.0,
        "trend": 59.899425,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 1.509028,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 495295.0,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 64.645545,
        "energy": 62.575851,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.580002,
        "volume": 415100,
        "typical_volume": 479300.0,
        "trend": 60.590125,
        "fair_value": 49.62919,
        "relative_strength": -0.90237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 62.348223,
        "energy": 58.429844,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.849998,
        "volume": 494400,
        "typical_volume": 469545.0,
        "trend": 60.815125,
        "fair_value": 49.813976,
        "relative_strength": 0.036622,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.61415,
        "energy": 50.511494,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.948667,
          64.924885,
          63.845566,
          62.382358
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.830002,
        "volume": 310100,
        "typical_volume": 449035.0,
        "trend": 61.049125,
        "fair_value": 50.010958,
        "relative_strength": -0.067927,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.788499,
        "energy": 57.028648,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}