{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ea3193ae-5019-46ab-9efa-0c5029add3d9",
    "symbol": "002273",
    "name": "Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 67.645,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.902,
    "architecture_energy": 51.671,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.639,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.587,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.77,
        "rotation_up": 16.83,
        "upward_expansion": 27.1,
        "deceleration": 48.64,
        "rotation_down": 68.03,
        "downward_expansion": 52.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.038,
        29.722909,
        32.082782,
        31.402875
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 27.629999,
    "trend_reference": 30.130509,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.082989,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.28542,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.362062,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.29314,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.159463,
    "excess_performance": 0.152063,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082989,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087619,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.362062,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.588812,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032931,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.242284,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159463,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.131756,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 270004230,
      "relative_activity": 0.905248,
      "balance": 1.131756,
      "dry_up": 0.980718,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.168798,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.636033,
      "from_high_reference": -0.372933,
      "from_low_reference": 0.357675
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.130509,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.28542,
      "structural_low": 21.762586,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.021045,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004847,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.266272,
        "worst_return": -0.193142,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.056741,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00417,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.558907,
        "worst_return": -0.265175,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.286823,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.223659,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.916247,
        "worst_return": 0.02904,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.294747,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.255765,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.779155,
        "worst_return": -0.08022,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.216101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.067256,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.052379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021488,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.104903,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03962,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.056611,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.378573,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 299569597.8,
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        "fair_value": 19.986009,
        "relative_strength": -2.408892,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 1.364146,
        "energy": 12.827468,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.35,
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        "typical_volume": 302461200.25,
        "trend": 30.029175,
        "fair_value": 20.088347,
        "relative_strength": -0.478243,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.084594,
        "energy": 30.652346,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.290001,
        "volume": 270014210,
        "typical_volume": 299410068.7,
        "trend": 30.046842,
        "fair_value": 20.177233,
        "relative_strength": -6.67173,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.917519,
        "energy": 44.711279,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.64,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.629999,
        "volume": 270004230,
        "typical_volume": 298265353.3,
        "trend": 30.130509,
        "fair_value": 20.28542,
        "relative_strength": -3.29314,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.902042,
        "energy": 51.670804,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}