{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ea39fdb0-2ecb-41aa-ade6-bb831067b2d3", "symbol": "LRCX", "name": "Lam Research Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.735, "architecture_energy": 22.097, "architecture_maturity": 68.979, "architecture_confidence": 89.895, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.5, "rotation_up": 18.06, "upward_expansion": 51.77, "deceleration": 93.97, "rotation_down": 37.64, "downward_expansion": 20.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 308.092667, 326.620909, 320.15227, 301.194918 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 311.35, "trend_reference": 276.818809, "distance_from_trend": 0.124743, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 127.20561, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.447612, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.15451, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.350286, "excess_performance": 0.162833, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.124743, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.254973, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.447612, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.351543, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.261545, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.277239, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.350286, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.534707, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49254084, "relative_activity": 0.940271, "balance": 0.534707, "dry_up": 1.088782, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160622, "annualized_volatility": 0.587337, "from_high_reference": -0.289966, "from_low_reference": 2.326643 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 276.818809, "fair_value_reference": 127.20561, "structural_low": 193.945237, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.095835, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.04567, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.171834, "worst_return": -0.030302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.208473, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.120024, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.70481, "worst_return": -0.031434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.250087, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.131717, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.587177, "worst_return": -0.156486, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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38.079355, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.401653, "energy": 37.129806, "activity_lines": [ 344.618, 345.069992, 317.467776, 294.747664 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 305.21, "volume": 43740741, "typical_volume": 51794633.0, "trend": 270.095488, "fair_value": 124.169416, "relative_strength": 34.514607, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.450348, "energy": 21.903151, "activity_lines": [ 327.476667, 339.464282, 319.019757, 297.287247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 293.02, "volume": 80965448, "typical_volume": 53336872.95, "trend": 273.705618, "fair_value": 125.61675, "relative_strength": 26.584707, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.641323, "energy": 21.332119, "activity_lines": [ 311.860667, 331.266069, 318.905936, 298.766248 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 311.35, "volume": 49254084, "typical_volume": 52382881.7, "trend": 276.818809, "fair_value": 127.20561, "relative_strength": 26.15451, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.734653, "energy": 22.096882, "activity_lines": [ 308.092667, 326.620909, 320.15227, 301.194918 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }