{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ea3b0665-268c-4b9f-9cbc-d8de0b769498", "symbol": "WPH", "name": "Wattanapat Hospital Trang Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 6.388, "architecture_energy": 4.839, "architecture_maturity": 27.055, "architecture_confidence": 78.61, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 76.83, "rotation_up": 26.62, "upward_expansion": 27.12, "deceleration": 38.28, "rotation_down": 28.39, "downward_expansion": 51.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.893333, 5.856364, 5.827857, 5.895504 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.25, "trend_reference": 5.953449, "distance_from_trend": 0.049812, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.325363, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.1468, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.23817, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.12088, "excess_performance": -0.071445, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.049812, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01054, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.1468, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035605, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.102382, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138781, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.12088, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.156894, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4897600, "relative_activity": 2.371461, "balance": 1.156894, "dry_up": 1.396337, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040615, "annualized_volatility": 0.395081, "from_high_reference": -0.254907, "from_low_reference": 0.216049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.953449, "fair_value_reference": 7.325363, "structural_low": 5.55, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.007196, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.012937, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.149351, "worst_return": -0.254237, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.023256, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.039394, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.581081, "worst_return": -0.22619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.1, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.03356, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.458334, "worst_return": -0.244186, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 2092236.5, "trend": 5.944626, "fair_value": 7.301704, "relative_strength": -22.341314, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.551393, "energy": 27.979883, "activity_lines": [ 5.776667, 5.795455, 5.800952, 5.891225 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.7, "volume": 569800, "typical_volume": 1956230.0, "trend": 5.939063, "fair_value": 7.311308, "relative_strength": -19.659882, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.597115, "energy": 38.527194, "activity_lines": [ 5.74, 5.775455, 5.78619, 5.875443 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.25, "volume": 4897600, "typical_volume": 2065225.0, "trend": 5.953449, "fair_value": 7.325363, "relative_strength": -10.23817, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.387875, "energy": 4.838935, "activity_lines": [ 5.893333, 5.856364, 5.827857, 5.895504 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }