{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ea46fb9b-f03f-4074-88d0-2493f8e31d22",
    "symbol": "300331",
    "name": "SVG Tech Group Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -21.963,
    "architecture_energy": 36.721,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.913,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.011,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.36,
        "rotation_up": 14.05,
        "upward_expansion": 16.99,
        "deceleration": 72.61,
        "rotation_down": 65.79,
        "downward_expansion": 41.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.864,
        52.115091,
        54.256239,
        52.755033
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 47.139999,
    "trend_reference": 50.818,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.072376,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.833333,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.693653,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.409953,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.030041,
    "excess_performance": -0.037441,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072376,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195905,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.693653,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.492397,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0941,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.274044,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030041,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.373245,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 78053238,
      "relative_activity": 1.280593,
      "balance": 0.373245,
      "dry_up": 1.485833,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 7
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.217633,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.730624,
      "from_high_reference": -0.349793,
      "from_low_reference": 1.264169
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 50.818,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.833333,
      "structural_low": 33.880001,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.059035,
        "positive_rate": 0.722222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.722222,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028232,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.709924,
        "worst_return": -0.134679,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.070495,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.135454,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.661952,
        "worst_return": -0.075165,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.089385,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.084043,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.349172,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.374476,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.480076,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 1.069578,
        "worst_return": -0.3932,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.180155,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.137529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.143462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 57243163.9,
        "trend": 50.076334,
        "fair_value": 27.593846,
        "relative_strength": 3.994497,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.91,
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        "typical_volume": 59620460.4,
        "trend": 50.325334,
        "fair_value": 27.681346,
        "relative_strength": -3.981535,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.499175,
        "energy": 39.765983,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.139999,
        "volume": 78053238,
        "typical_volume": 60950849.1,
        "trend": 50.818,
        "fair_value": 27.833333,
        "relative_strength": 9.409953,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.96283,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}