{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ea488d2c-8604-4543-9940-faaf251613bb",
    "symbol": "BMSCG",
    "name": "BCAP Mid Small CG ETF",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.739,
    "architecture_energy": 90.168,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.455,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.618,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.35,
        "rotation_up": 84.27,
        "upward_expansion": 98.57,
        "deceleration": 39.86,
        "rotation_down": 10.89,
        "downward_expansion": 20.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.783333,
        9.539091,
        9.126571,
        8.808559
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 9.93,
    "trend_reference": 8.410333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.18069,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.517308,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.165861,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.635215,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.322237,
    "excess_performance": 0.129912,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18069,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090834,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165861,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186355,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076352,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103408,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.322237,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 40.741993,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2041300,
      "relative_activity": 8.429551,
      "balance": 40.741993,
      "dry_up": 2.242526,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028895,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.19449,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008982,
      "from_low_reference": 0.412518
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.410333,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.517308,
      "structural_low": 7.33,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.001738,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001819,
        "regime_survival": 0.588235,
        "best_return": 0.105442,
        "worst_return": -0.064786,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.02772,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027464,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.164474,
        "worst_return": -0.176594,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.064882,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035182,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.086705,
        "worst_return": -0.072695,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.169217,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028402,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.007707,
        "worst_return": -0.294542,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.021944,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.089912,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.078456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
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        "return": 0.056579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.067017,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.008345,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037293,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 266000.0,
        "trend": 7.600667,
        "fair_value": 8.585962,
        "relative_strength": -2.705559,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.303177,
        "energy": 74.932215,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 267665.0,
        "trend": 7.628667,
        "fair_value": 8.576603,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.728596,
        "energy": 84.768958,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.964714,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 268935.0,
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        "relative_strength": -2.729042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.44132,
        "energy": 90.949496,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 269870.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 7.762333,
        "fair_value": 8.547885,
        "relative_strength": -2.585496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.985068,
        "energy": 91.629805,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 7.812667,
        "fair_value": 8.537372,
        "relative_strength": -4.993881,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.773347,
        "energy": 86.413818,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 168905.0,
        "trend": 7.926333,
        "fair_value": 8.524359,
        "relative_strength": 1.455049,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.030698,
        "energy": 87.008961,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.838667,
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          8.420952,
          8.216839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 9.25,
        "volume": 5800,
        "typical_volume": 140595.0,
        "trend": 7.995,
        "fair_value": 8.521218,
        "relative_strength": 0.472187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.765056,
        "energy": 81.494548,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.98,
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          8.517429,
          8.302237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 9.52,
        "volume": 79300,
        "typical_volume": 138170.0,
        "trend": 8.075333,
        "fair_value": 8.519679,
        "relative_strength": 2.78328,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.809932,
        "energy": 86.858016,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.184,
          8.993818,
          8.633857,
          8.400624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.75,
        "volume": 47500,
        "typical_volume": 139245.0,
        "trend": 8.158667,
        "fair_value": 8.518654,
        "relative_strength": 4.117793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.529288,
        "energy": 94.275988,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.42,
          9.158909,
          8.766619,
          8.508667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.68,
        "volume": 56200,
        "typical_volume": 139320.0,
        "trend": 8.239667,
        "fair_value": 8.517244,
        "relative_strength": 3.072099,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.498734,
        "energy": 90.795916,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.560667,
          9.286909,
          8.885857,
          8.606817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.76,
        "volume": 27200,
        "typical_volume": 140435.0,
        "trend": 8.323333,
        "fair_value": 8.516923,
        "relative_strength": 5.121644,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.481018,
        "energy": 90.160256,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.670667,
          9.408,
          9.00281,
          8.704903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.93,
        "volume": 2041300,
        "typical_volume": 242160.0,
        "trend": 8.410333,
        "fair_value": 8.517308,
        "relative_strength": 7.635215,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.738605,
        "energy": 90.167662,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.783333,
          9.539091,
          9.126571,
          8.808559
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}