{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ea49e831-a94c-4001-af4c-6d2a65582da4",
    "symbol": "TUED",
    "name": "TD Active U.S. Enhanced Dividend ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.732,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.077,
    "architecture_energy": 23.698,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.705,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.193,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.7,
        "rotation_up": 24.58,
        "upward_expansion": 57.27,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 36.41,
        "downward_expansion": 20.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.298306,
        36.737132,
        36.544074,
        35.82605
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 36.560001,
    "trend_reference": 34.941912,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046308,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.176673,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253056,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.85064,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.095439,
    "excess_performance": -0.024982,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046308,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043326,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253056,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046797,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038506,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039064,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095439,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.598149,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 73600,
      "relative_activity": 0.598788,
      "balance": 1.598149,
      "dry_up": 0.825367,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037735,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.188869,
      "from_high_reference": -0.05179,
      "from_low_reference": 0.203785
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.941912,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.176673,
      "structural_low": 30.760949,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.016212,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016718,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.04287,
        "worst_return": -0.072255,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.018492,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040285,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.174836,
        "worst_return": -0.140812,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.097311,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010592,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.270449,
        "worst_return": -0.078085,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.115896,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042728,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.443813,
        "worst_return": -0.04846,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.249843,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044942,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.102494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005289,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050916,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.022572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
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        "return": 0.012788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025735,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
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        "return": 0.125675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02639,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "volume": 193000,
        "typical_volume": 159875.0,
        "trend": 32.849366,
        "fair_value": 27.461039,
        "relative_strength": -3.475842,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.256636,
        "energy": 42.113369,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.728655,
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          33.063879,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 35.409935,
        "volume": 145900,
        "typical_volume": 161495.0,
        "trend": 32.946189,
        "fair_value": 27.564601,
        "relative_strength": -1.50401,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.156553,
        "energy": 63.417048,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.51989,
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          33.300137,
          33.129633
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 34.977558,
        "volume": 172800,
        "typical_volume": 161295.0,
        "trend": 33.017215,
        "fair_value": 27.666802,
        "relative_strength": -2.571422,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.282468,
        "energy": 71.557964,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.903447,
          33.892357,
          33.482535,
          33.26069
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 36.102654,
        "volume": 138500,
        "typical_volume": 161530.0,
        "trend": 33.152569,
        "fair_value": 27.77442,
        "relative_strength": 0.05576,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.422664,
        "energy": 80.991021,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.422672,
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          33.758386,
          33.45975
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 36.46109,
        "volume": 175600,
        "typical_volume": 167705.0,
        "trend": 33.281879,
        "fair_value": 27.882859,
        "relative_strength": 1.839303,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.34309,
        "energy": 80.165368,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.842642,
          34.916148,
          34.049741,
          33.673203
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 36.510876,
        "volume": 209100,
        "typical_volume": 174725.0,
        "trend": 33.398783,
        "fair_value": 27.990591,
        "relative_strength": 0.125592,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.388795,
        "energy": 75.581975,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.138117,
          35.369312,
          34.326718,
          33.881525
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.501282,
        "volume": 174300,
        "typical_volume": 174320.0,
        "trend": 33.4909,
        "fair_value": 28.098577,
        "relative_strength": -0.68318,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.229062,
        "energy": 72.4662,
        "activity_lines": [
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          34.58337,
          34.081687
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 35.842701,
        "volume": 63200,
        "typical_volume": 171590.0,
        "trend": 33.595819,
        "fair_value": 28.203499,
        "relative_strength": -1.362847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.33377,
        "energy": 59.175672,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.25174,
          35.89856,
          34.761464,
          34.233416
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 36.670914,
        "volume": 98600,
        "typical_volume": 167350.0,
        "trend": 33.738837,
        "fair_value": 28.312058,
        "relative_strength": -0.554301,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.217704,
        "energy": 56.080592,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.380804,
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          35.008183,
          34.431809
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 38.546871,
        "volume": 4700,
        "typical_volume": 158020.0,
        "trend": 33.962419,
        "fair_value": 28.433542,
        "relative_strength": 4.410555,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.468644,
        "energy": 74.958445,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.097304,
          36.626589,
          35.415604,
          34.742005
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 37.470894,
        "volume": 42600,
        "typical_volume": 146970.0,
        "trend": 34.10264,
        "fair_value": 28.54477,
        "relative_strength": 1.55857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.874717,
        "energy": 68.845557,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.316092,
          36.854117,
          35.693327,
          34.968358
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.791142,
        "volume": 18700,
        "typical_volume": 141370.0,
        "trend": 34.270788,
        "fair_value": 28.659728,
        "relative_strength": 1.713328,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.858792,
        "energy": 80.971874,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.577629,
          37.098056,
          35.982044,
          35.206326
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.850998,
        "volume": 154800,
        "typical_volume": 142060.0,
        "trend": 34.462457,
        "fair_value": 28.772748,
        "relative_strength": 1.780273,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.287298,
        "energy": 81.187653,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.773126,
          37.309583,
          36.255243,
          35.437307
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.005341,
        "volume": 149100,
        "typical_volume": 137930.0,
        "trend": 34.589647,
        "fair_value": 28.873292,
        "relative_strength": -2.899787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.087137,
        "energy": 46.677852,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.219519,
          37.133292,
          36.335264,
          35.536848
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.444305,
        "volume": 93700,
        "typical_volume": 130965.0,
        "trend": 34.722924,
        "fair_value": 28.975287,
        "relative_strength": -1.839606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.071513,
        "energy": 33.16319,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.856604,
          37.038582,
          36.446969,
          35.656503
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.619999,
        "volume": 89400,
        "typical_volume": 126200.0,
        "trend": 34.829105,
        "fair_value": 29.073096,
        "relative_strength": -3.458419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.718602,
        "energy": 21.775826,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.359092,
          36.794303,
          36.459254,
          35.714379
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.560001,
        "volume": 73600,
        "typical_volume": 122915.0,
        "trend": 34.941912,
        "fair_value": 29.176673,
        "relative_strength": -3.85064,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.077384,
        "energy": 23.697688,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.298306,
          36.737132,
          36.544074,
          35.82605
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}