{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ea4f6a77-6c3c-4a8b-8f41-b68de08c64d5", "symbol": "300828", "name": "Tianjin Ruixin Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.993, "architecture_energy": 75.589, "architecture_maturity": 25.221, "architecture_confidence": 83.808, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.02, "rotation_up": 9.59, "upward_expansion": 17.58, "deceleration": 37.26, "rotation_down": 75.66, "downward_expansion": 93.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.910667, 16.271619, 18.260778, 19.320298 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.51, "trend_reference": 20.415084, "distance_from_trend": -0.240268, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.498064, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.00077, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.694166, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.34914, "excess_performance": -0.356539, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.240268, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015168, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.00077, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.63247, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196942, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.303343, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.34914, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.957694, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18875150, "relative_activity": 0.676454, "balance": 0.957694, "dry_up": 0.709988, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.18989, "annualized_volatility": 0.698263, "from_high_reference": -0.499677, "from_low_reference": 0.266122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.415084, "fair_value_reference": 15.498064, "structural_low": 12.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.035714, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.035958, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.434931, "worst_return": -0.085984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.159499, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.200246, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.377854, "worst_return": -0.018704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.099831, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.152472, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.418874, "worst_return": -0.055102, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030102, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.078431, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017167, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.031359, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.10962, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": 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"modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.546031, "energy": 29.7922, "activity_lines": [ 18.788527, 19.477846, 20.430921, 20.85346 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.59, "volume": 19388250, "typical_volume": 31998548.1, "trend": 20.582751, "fair_value": 15.51136, "relative_strength": -22.970891, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.66846, "energy": 68.870641, "activity_lines": [ 17.311333, 18.392771, 19.819957, 20.46397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.69, "volume": 23070145, "typical_volume": 29998865.35, "trend": 20.505084, "fair_value": 15.497518, "relative_strength": -27.414336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.614352, "energy": 77.212735, "activity_lines": [ 15.764666, 17.328399, 19.175516, 20.019277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.62, "volume": 17909884, "typical_volume": 29141429.55, "trend": 20.459084, "fair_value": 15.49091, "relative_strength": -20.770524, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.702301, "energy": 77.503162, "activity_lines": [ 15.056666, 16.659021, 18.662409, 19.639594 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.51, "volume": 18875150, "typical_volume": 27903078.8, "trend": 20.415084, "fair_value": 15.498064, "relative_strength": -19.694166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.993452, "energy": 75.58937, "activity_lines": [ 14.910667, 16.271619, 18.260778, 19.320298 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }