{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ea5561eb-ff97-4e7b-a139-b5d9f973ef32",
    "symbol": "DXZ",
    "name": "Dynamic Active U.S. Mid-Cap ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.207,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.014,
    "architecture_energy": 66.471,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.619,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.629,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.28,
        "rotation_up": 63.39,
        "upward_expansion": 87.31,
        "deceleration": 65.56,
        "rotation_down": 24.49,
        "downward_expansion": 11.64
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.19,
        14.124909,
        13.797905,
        13.572839
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 14.34,
    "trend_reference": 13.364,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.073032,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.718175,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.12752,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.514588,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.068554,
    "excess_performance": -0.051867,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073032,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027714,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.12752,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072043,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035146,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066902,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068554,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.76,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.76,
      "dry_up": 0.8,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02017,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.134625,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009669,
      "from_low_reference": 0.166802
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.364,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.718175,
      "structural_low": 12.29,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.004568,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003701,
        "regime_survival": 0.607143,
        "best_return": 0.052632,
        "worst_return": -0.100683,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.009689,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014918,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.081872,
        "worst_return": -0.084939,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.00147,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03583,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.131209,
        "worst_return": -0.14248,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.030986,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.029586,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.259545,
        "worst_return": -0.143741,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "return": 0.052902,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.04962,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
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        "return": -0.035823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.703502,
        "energy": 25.042694,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.106667,
          12.916909,
          12.977541,
          12.978958
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 13.21,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 5765.0,
        "trend": 12.985045,
        "fair_value": 12.441993,
        "relative_strength": -9.775126,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.673782,
        "energy": 34.137272,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.192667,
          12.969636,
          12.998986,
          12.99352
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 13.15,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4695.0,
        "trend": 12.993096,
        "fair_value": 12.458819,
        "relative_strength": -10.204803,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.328955,
        "energy": 42.891391,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.201333,
          13.017273,
          13.013044,
          13.004162
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 13.0,
        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 4630.0,
        "trend": 12.992491,
        "fair_value": 12.474936,
        "relative_strength": -10.069075,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.556549,
        "energy": 37.455538,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.136,
          13.042364,
          13.011524,
          13.004607
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 13.12,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 4440.0,
        "trend": 12.990903,
        "fair_value": 12.491886,
        "relative_strength": -10.481394,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.923489,
        "energy": 25.770378,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.116,
          13.084,
          13.019857,
          13.012834
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 13.25,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 3910.0,
        "trend": 13.003616,
        "fair_value": 12.51144,
        "relative_strength": -9.935189,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.413691,
        "energy": 27.31046,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.149333,
          13.136182,
          13.038571,
          13.02955
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.21,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3625.0,
        "trend": 13.012337,
        "fair_value": 12.528967,
        "relative_strength": -8.877448,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.314173,
        "energy": 28.20603,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.170667,
          13.165455,
          13.053333,
          13.042865
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.51,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3180.0,
        "trend": 13.04003,
        "fair_value": 12.547658,
        "relative_strength": -7.847957,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.663297,
        "energy": 60.15818,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.292,
          13.233636,
          13.097905,
          13.074972
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 13.77,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2830.0,
        "trend": 13.067085,
        "fair_value": 12.569534,
        "relative_strength": -5.818033,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.484253,
        "energy": 79.011274,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.476,
          13.336,
          13.165619,
          13.122067
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 14.17,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2490.0,
        "trend": 13.100165,
        "fair_value": 12.591317,
        "relative_strength": -2.790263,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.452689,
        "energy": 92.530141,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.742,
          13.498545,
          13.266714,
          13.193223
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 14.34,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2335.0,
        "trend": 13.14755,
        "fair_value": 12.614633,
        "relative_strength": -2.057072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.359741,
        "energy": 97.092379,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.994667,
          13.675636,
          13.380429,
          13.273212
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 14.11,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 2075.0,
        "trend": 13.189261,
        "fair_value": 12.635906,
        "relative_strength": -3.434193,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.834041,
        "energy": 89.365764,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.098,
          13.791455,
          13.467429,
          13.335306
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.25,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 1680.0,
        "trend": 13.234975,
        "fair_value": 12.657317,
        "relative_strength": -2.064791,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.637251,
        "energy": 91.037392,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.188,
          13.916364,
          13.565,
          13.40374
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.94,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1245.0,
        "trend": 13.277333,
        "fair_value": 12.676425,
        "relative_strength": -4.138697,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.731937,
        "energy": 84.672627,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.125333,
          13.964909,
          13.629048,
          13.449226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.18,
        "volume": 3300,
        "typical_volume": 1295.0,
        "trend": 13.326667,
        "fair_value": 12.696882,
        "relative_strength": -1.757105,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.293706,
        "energy": 64.583589,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.131333,
          14.04,
          13.710095,
          13.507462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.34,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1125.0,
        "trend": 13.364,
        "fair_value": 12.718175,
        "relative_strength": -3.514588,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.013862,
        "energy": 66.471431,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.19,
          14.124909,
          13.797905,
          13.572839
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}