{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ea638d08-da0c-4f72-8815-7ac44a681624",
    "symbol": "688269",
    "name": "Kaili Catalyst & New Materials Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.237,
    "architecture_energy": 66.304,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.933,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.497,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.04,
        "rotation_up": 16.81,
        "upward_expansion": 13.52,
        "deceleration": 44.2,
        "rotation_down": 62.83,
        "downward_expansion": 84.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.721333,
        30.672404,
        33.545351,
        35.621179
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 31.110001,
    "trend_reference": 38.250049,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.186668,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 33.468845,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070479,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -19.129903,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.33369,
    "excess_performance": -0.290486,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186668,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066092,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070479,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.256081,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.191299,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1972,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.33369,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.68736,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9366523,
      "relative_activity": 1.298756,
      "balance": 0.68736,
      "dry_up": 1.027278,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.100014,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.441695,
      "from_high_reference": -0.42844,
      "from_low_reference": 0.140814
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.250049,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.468845,
      "structural_low": 27.27,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.044992,
        "positive_rate": 0.347826,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.652174,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034107,
        "regime_survival": 0.913043,
        "best_return": 0.152817,
        "worst_return": -0.278261,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
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        "worst_return": -0.31486,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.250004,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.646385,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "direction": -76.047028,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 7671759.7,
        "trend": 39.270049,
        "fair_value": 34.060746,
        "relative_strength": -22.00658,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.3128,
        "energy": 80.197926,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.127333,
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          35.654372,
          37.447791
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.860001,
        "volume": 6502053,
        "typical_volume": 7285652.4,
        "trend": 38.925716,
        "fair_value": 33.842476,
        "relative_strength": -25.815201,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.976223,
        "energy": 85.454187,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.754667,
          31.541527,
          34.714555,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.459999,
        "volume": 7103496,
        "typical_volume": 7120981.55,
        "trend": 38.546716,
        "fair_value": 33.648364,
        "relative_strength": -21.625328,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.693234,
        "energy": 80.710101,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.390666,
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          34.013739,
          36.100967
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.110001,
        "volume": 9366523,
        "typical_volume": 7211920.05,
        "trend": 38.250049,
        "fair_value": 33.468845,
        "relative_strength": -19.129903,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.236566,
        "energy": 66.30377,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.721333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}