{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ea6bed7d-4230-4f29-9c43-9f3982cff046", "symbol": "CISO", "name": "Cerberus Cyber Sentinel Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.042, "architecture_energy": 33.353, "architecture_maturity": 90.272, "architecture_confidence": 88.881, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.35, "rotation_up": 18.91, "upward_expansion": 3.34, "deceleration": 48.97, "rotation_down": 49.22, "downward_expansion": 74.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.264053, 0.27006, 0.28958, 0.306304 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.2676, "trend_reference": 0.33593, "distance_from_trend": -0.203405, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.991296, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.73005, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -59.008879, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.308527, "excess_performance": -0.495981, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203405, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212559, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.73005, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02314, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.590089, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088501, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.308527, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.961777, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 295773, "relative_activity": 0.112768, "balance": 3.961777, "dry_up": 0.243389, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.259274, "annualized_volatility": 0.92316, "from_high_reference": -0.819189, "from_low_reference": 0.26465 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.33593, "fair_value_reference": 0.991296, "structural_low": 0.2116, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.075164, "positive_rate": 0.325581, "directional_follow_through": 0.674419, "median_excess_return": -0.094168, "regime_survival": 0.930233, "best_return": 1.354468, "worst_return": -0.542254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.111111, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.228964, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 1.002225, "worst_return": -0.892081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.242231, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.438321, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.243233, "worst_return": -0.932934, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.710524, "energy": 42.39717, "activity_lines": [ 0.275107, 0.291696, 0.30475, 0.323439 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.261, "volume": 524174, "typical_volume": 2654323.05, "trend": 0.35052, "fair_value": 1.022712, "relative_strength": -60.056636, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.344013, "energy": 37.587136, "activity_lines": [ 0.2711, 0.283836, 0.298998, 0.317278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.2555, "volume": 552570, "typical_volume": 2641002.0, "trend": 0.34268, "fair_value": 1.005109, "relative_strength": -59.956577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.599446, "energy": 34.819381, "activity_lines": [ 0.265173, 0.275369, 0.2934, 0.311148 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.2676, "volume": 295773, "typical_volume": 2622848.85, "trend": 0.33593, "fair_value": 0.991296, "relative_strength": -59.008879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.042384, "energy": 33.352766, "activity_lines": [ 0.264053, 0.27006, 0.28958, 0.306304 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }