{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ea6daaea-5791-4fed-bcec-1c7767efcb4a", "symbol": "TSLL", "name": "DIREXION DAILY TSLA BULL 2X SHARES", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.964, "architecture_energy": 79.853, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.898, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.31, "rotation_up": 8.48, "upward_expansion": 18.18, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 79.06, "downward_expansion": 93.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.527333, 10.020837, 11.601047, 12.202395 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 8.11, "trend_reference": 13.278705, "distance_from_trend": -0.389248, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.196087, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.385424, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.21701, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.472773, "excess_performance": -0.660227, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.389248, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15929, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.385424, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.54537, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.53217, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.394533, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.472773, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.809011, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 473593980, "relative_activity": 1.19686, "balance": 0.809011, "dry_up": 1.015627, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.297185, "annualized_volatility": 0.93451, "from_high_reference": -0.654046, "from_low_reference": 0.211352 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.278705, "fair_value_reference": 13.196087, "structural_low": 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218585363, "typical_volume": 374831171.15, "trend": 14.43868, "fair_value": 13.325039, "relative_strength": -33.02335, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.358838, "energy": 47.443988, "activity_lines": [ 12.164608, 12.726665, 13.061708, 13.441091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.42, "volume": 477538221, "typical_volume": 383055803.75, "trend": 13.978424, "fair_value": 13.273939, "relative_strength": -55.351964, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.980099, "energy": 67.303247, "activity_lines": [ 10.542, 11.651205, 12.525107, 12.988273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.31, "volume": 437805454, "typical_volume": 388701913.15, "trend": 13.622674, "fair_value": 13.229366, "relative_strength": -56.002363, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.24411, "energy": 77.596154, "activity_lines": [ 9.257667, 10.692243, 12.009849, 12.558052 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.11, "volume": 473593980, "typical_volume": 395697176.9, "trend": 13.278705, "fair_value": 13.196087, "relative_strength": -53.21701, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.964454, "energy": 79.853188, "activity_lines": [ 8.527333, 10.020837, 11.601047, 12.202395 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }