{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ea92ab8f-2ab3-40c8-9c71-45c6a63eca1c", "symbol": "GM", "name": "General Motors Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.103, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.35, "architecture_energy": 65.042, "architecture_maturity": 10.747, "architecture_confidence": 79.241, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.07, "rotation_up": 66.39, "upward_expansion": 85.07, "deceleration": 47.91, "rotation_down": 15.15, "downward_expansion": 18.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.75, 82.029636, 80.531731, 79.491596 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 87.58, "trend_reference": 78.948086, "distance_from_trend": 0.109337, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.616255, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.63346, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.658913, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.044421, "excess_performance": -0.081204, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109337, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018388, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.63346, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056673, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.056589, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000746, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.044421, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.665712, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26458725, "relative_activity": 0.739762, "balance": 0.665712, "dry_up": 1.015224, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066925, "annualized_volatility": 0.284061, "from_high_reference": -0.046489, "from_low_reference": 0.656965 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.948086, "fair_value_reference": 53.616255, "structural_low": 70.270953, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.015716, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.018318, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.209133, "worst_return": -0.225017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.040446, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00129, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.318634, "worst_return": -0.241734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.062713, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.022607, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.606365, "worst_return": -0.175076, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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36404978.65, "trend": 78.503461, "fair_value": 52.923258, "relative_strength": 5.53129, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.768257, "energy": 8.013259, "activity_lines": [ 78.742, 79.053518, 78.564457, 78.255591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.86, "volume": 44143454, "typical_volume": 36714483.0, "trend": 78.778463, "fair_value": 53.265528, "relative_strength": 11.549499, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.982144, "energy": 53.532538, "activity_lines": [ 82.318, 80.751053, 79.648638, 78.923755 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.58, "volume": 26458725, "typical_volume": 35766522.1, "trend": 78.948086, "fair_value": 53.616255, "relative_strength": 5.658913, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.349762, "energy": 65.041625, "activity_lines": [ 84.75, 82.029636, 80.531731, 79.491596 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }