{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eaa9143d-5498-4892-9add-a42371622fb7", "symbol": "USSX", "name": "Global X S&P 500 Index ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.24, "architecture_energy": 60.094, "architecture_maturity": 85.856, "architecture_confidence": 67.203, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.18, "rotation_up": 49.68, "upward_expansion": 81.5, "deceleration": 71.41, "rotation_down": 29.22, "downward_expansion": 10.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.228666, 40.107145, 39.4836, 38.539872 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 41.009998, "trend_reference": 37.471072, "distance_from_trend": 0.094444, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.950359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244599, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.051595, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.142759, "excess_performance": 0.022338, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094444, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038076, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244599, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050975, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.000516, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012997, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142759, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.465636, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97300, "relative_activity": 2.0573, "balance": 7.465636, "dry_up": 0.865842, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021385, "annualized_volatility": 0.131309, "from_high_reference": -0.010376, "from_low_reference": 0.238153 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.471072, "fair_value_reference": 32.950359, "structural_low": 33.524282, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.014128, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.013729, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.033161, "worst_return": -0.038912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.017153, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.104091, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.017153, "worst_return": 0.017153, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.111188, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.031737, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.111188, "worst_return": 0.111188, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.50015, "energy": 53.762895, "activity_lines": [ 39.911333, 39.885009, 39.212556, 38.302273 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.009998, "volume": 97300, "typical_volume": 47295.0, "trend": 37.471072, "fair_value": 32.950359, "relative_strength": -0.051595, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.239714, "energy": 60.093914, "activity_lines": [ 40.228666, 40.107145, 39.4836, 38.539872 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }